Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ponferradina		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.25	7
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.55	3.65	6.2
	1.59	3.78	5.4
	1.57	3.63	5.76	Watch
	1.59	3.34	6.47
	1.55	3.65	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)	3.54 ↑ (3.1)	6.08 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
59%

Draw
25.9%

Amorebieta
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

29.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

28.9%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Ponferradina - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 5. Lancho J. 19. Lopez A. 24. Doue M. 16. Lozano M. (C) 11. Mula A. 22. Esquerdo V. 15. Bustos A. 20. Costa A.	13. Campos G. (G) 2. Carbonell A. 5. Amelibia J. (C) 20. Coto E. 23. Calavera J. 3. Camacho S. 11. Hervias P. 22. Yuste A. 18. Coulibaly A. 17. Munoz I. 7. Selma D.
Substitutes
25. Barredo P. (G) 9. Cabanzon Y. 21. Cortes J. 6. Fernandez B. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 12. Jurgens O. 3. Novoa G. 18. Ramon A. 10. Valle B.	15. Aurtenetxe J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 10. Berto 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 9. Kaxe 21. Marin A. 1. Marino U. (G) 6. Nakai P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Costa A. ⚽,
26', 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Carbonell A. ⚽,
35', 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Hervias P. ⚽,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Lopez A. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
46', Bustos A. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
46', Lancho J. ↓, Novoa G. ↑,
52', Camacho S. ↓, Aurtenetxe J. ↑,
57', Campos G. 🟨,
58', Coulibaly A. ↓, Ben Hamed N. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Bustos A. ⚽,
70', 3 - 2, Cabanzon Y. ⚽,
75', Hervias P. 🟨,
78', 4 - 2, Costa A. ⚽,
81', Calavera J. ↓, Nakai P. ↑,
81', Selma D. ↓, Kaxe ↑,
81', Yuste A. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
90+4', 5 - 2, Ramon A. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ponferradina have a series of guest games.

In this match Ponferradina is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.11.24	Barakaldo - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Ponferradina - Zamora	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Escobedo - Ponferradina	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Leonesa - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTWL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.11.24	Amorebieta - Barcelona B	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Arenteiro - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Amorebieta - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Barbastro - Amorebieta	4:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Tarazona - Amorebieta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
28.05.22	Amorebieta - Ponferradina	1:0
19.12.21	Ponferradina - Amorebieta	1:1

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