Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Las Gaunas (Logroño) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pozueta Rodriguez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	UD Logroñés		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.50	3.90
	1.82	3.20	3.90
	1.91	3.15	3.60
	1.84	3.40	4.27
	2.07	3.24	3.59	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.20
	1.90	3.18	3.78
	1.90	3.30	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.05)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	3.86 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
48.6%

Draw
27.8%

Leonesa
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

UD Logroñés - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sobron F. (G) 14. Navarro D. 5. Alvarez A. 4. Cabetas E. 3. Camacho S. 21. Santana I. 17. Issman L. 8. Mari Sanchez M. (C) 20. Morales A. 23. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 11. Baselga M.	13. San Roman M. (G) 2. Ortega G. 5. Pier R. 15. Jaso Zunzarren A. 3. Vazquez J. 11. Garcia H. 14. Bicho (C) 6. Maestre S. 16. Lopez O. 9. Delgado J. 22. Queipo D.
Substitutes
7. Amigo D. 19. Asenjo I. 18. Ba P. 27. Brito P. 22. Garcia C. 1. Konate T. (G) 10. Rivero Q. 9. Rosas B. 2. Val J. 16. Zabala M.	23. Algobia A. 33. Aller H. 10. Cardero A. 19. Escobar A. 31. Fernandez M. 20. Lopez I. 8. Ndiaye A. 30. Oviedo A. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 17. Pomares C. 24. Tiru B.
Coaches
Mendia U.	Jandro Castro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Maestre S. 🟨,
33', Jaso Zunzarren A. 🟨,
34', Alvarez A. 🟨,
45+1', Delgado J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ↓, Asenjo I. ↑,
46', Alvarez A. ↓, Val J. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Delgado J. ⚽, Ortega G. (A),
62', Camacho S. 🟨,
64', Mari Sanchez M. ↓, Rosas B. ↑,
64', Santana I. ↓, Brito P. ↑,
70', Delgado J. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
70', Maestre S. ↓, Algobia A. ↑,
77', Baselga M. ↓, Amigo D. ↑,
81', Queipo D. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
82', Pier R. 🟨,
85', Garcia H. ↓, Aller H. ↑,
85', Bicho ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
86', Aller H. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Rosas B. ⚽, Asenjo I. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Logroñés won 4.

Logroñés has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Leonesa has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Logroñés may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Logroñés holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Logroñés has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 17:9 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Logroñés against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:4 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	UD Logrones	9	6	2	1	20:12	8	20
13	Cultural Leonesa	9	3	3	3	10:9	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

UD Logroñés - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.33%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.10.26	Lugo - UD Logroñés	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	UD Logroñés - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Mérida AD - UD Logroñés	3:5 ✺
18.09.26	UD Logroñés - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	UD Ourense - UD Logroñés	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWTW
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.10.26	Leonesa - Arenas Club de Getxo	4:1 ✺
03.10.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Leonesa - Coria	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	CD Extremadura - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Cacereño - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.08.22	UD Logroñés - Leonesa	3:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.05.22	Leonesa - UD Logroñés	1:2
08.01.22	UD Logroñés - Leonesa	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.02.20	Leonesa - UD Logroñés	0:2
15.09.19	UD Logroñés - Leonesa	3:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.04.16	Leonesa - UD Logroñés	0:2
22.11.15	UD Logroñés - Leonesa	1:1

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