Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Sportpark Goed Genoeg (Amsterdam)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4, ESPN Extra


	Amsterdamsche FC		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.25	1.27	Watch
	9.3	5.4	1.29
	7.84	5.6	1.3
	12.61	8.03	1.15	Watch
	10	5	1.25
	10.1	5.5	1.26	Watch
	8	5.33	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.62 ↑ (7.11)	5.73 ↑ (4.95)	1.26 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amsterdamsche FC
9.7%

Draw
16.3%

NEC Nijmegen
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

18.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

17.7%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amsterdamsche FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC Nijmegen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Amsterdamsche FC - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. AFC will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Nijmegen (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - AFC (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.16) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. AFC (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nijmegen (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Zetten G. (G) 4. Ederveen S. 2. Lucke B. 15. van Weerdenburg G. 27. Lee I. 6. Benninga N. 22. Shenkman N. 5. Martis B. 29. Fonseca R. 3. Markiet G. (C) 28. Gouda D.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 2. Pereira B. 71. Proper D. (C) 4. Kaplan A. 15. Willems J. 32. van Crooij V. 23. Sano K. 35. de Laat S. 7. Misidjan V. 9. Shiogai K. 21. Gonzalez R.
Substitutes
17. Ascencion D. 32. Brussee D. 24. Eliasar M. 19. el Ibrahimi K. 43. Hovenkamp T. 11. Jesse M. 14. Klopper M. 21. Nolet D. (G) 7. Platje M. 10. van der Greft J. 31. van Leeuwen A. 26. Zantingh T.	8. Darelas A. 14. Dasa E. 24. Fonville D. 31. Janse R. (G) 20. Lebreton N. 6. Nejasmic D. 18. Ogawa K. 11. Onal B. 25. Ouaissa S. 38. Overmars M. (G) 39. van de Wiel M.
Coaches
Seedorf C.	Schreuder D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Gonzalez R. ⚽, Pereira B. (A),
6', van Zetten G. ↓, Nolet D. ↑,
26', 1 - 1, Ederveen S. ⚽, Lucke B. (A),
38', Shenkman N. 🟨,
41', Benninga N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', de Laat S. ↓, Ouaissa S. ↑,
64', Misidjan V. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
65', Lee I. ↓, Klopper M. ↑,
73', van Crooij V. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
78', Willems J. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Shiogai K. ⚽, Gonzalez R. (A),
85', 1 - 3, Shiogai K. ⚽, Onal B. (A),
87', Ederveen S. ↓, van der Greft J. ↑,
87', Markiet G. ↓, Platje M. ↑,
90', Platje M. 🟨,
90+5', Klopper M. 🟨,
90+5', Onal B. 🟨,

Preview

AFC has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nijmegen is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Nijmegen is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AFC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, AFC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amsterdamsche FC
Dutch Tweede Divisie
13.12.25	HHC Hardenberg - Amsterdamsche FC	4:1 ✺
06.12.25	Amsterdamsche FC - GVVV	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Amsterdamsche FC	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Amsterdamsche FC - RKAV Volendam	3:1 ✺
15.11.25	HSV Hoek - Amsterdamsche FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTWT
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.25	Telstar - NEC Nijmegen	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Volendam - NEC Nijmegen	2:3 ✺
29.11.25	NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen	2:4 ✺
09.11.25	NEC Nijmegen - Groningen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.07.21	Amsterdamsche FC - NEC Nijmegen	2:1

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