Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: BUKO Stadion (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Spain	GolStadium
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Triller TV+


	Telstar		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	3	4	2.1	Watch
	3.15	3.7	2.12
	3.25	4	2.12
	3.08	3.93	2.11	Watch
	3	3.75	2.05
	3.25	4.11	2.09	Watch
	3.1	3.75	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (4.2)	3.89 ↓ (4.1)	2.1 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Telstar
30.4%

Draw
24.4%

NEC Nijmegen
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

22.8%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

22.4%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Telstar's performance.

NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NEC Nijmegen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Telstar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	8%	64%

Telstar - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 16 - 64%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Telstar (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Nijmegen (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): NEC Nijmegen will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Telstar (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Nijmegen (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 4. Offerhaus G. 6. Bakker D. (C) 11. Noslin T. 17. Rossen N. 8. Owusu T. 2. Hardeveld J. 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 27. Brouwer P. 7. Hetli S.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 14. Dasa E. 3. Sandler P. 24. Fonville D. 25. Ouaissa S. 6. Nejasmic D. 23. Sano K. 11. Onal B. 10. Chery T. (C) 30. Linssen B. 18. Ogawa K.
Substitutes
13. Bodak T. (G) 10. Hamdaoui M. 15. Lechkar A. 29. Malone D. 16. Mertens D. 5. Nwankwo N. 28. Oudsten R. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 30. Tejan K. 9. Zonneveld M.	35. de Laat S. 21. Gonzalez R. 31. Janse R. (G) 7. Misidjan V. 38. Overmars M. (G) 2. Pereira B. 71. Proper D. 9. Shiogai K. 32. van Crooij V. 15. Willems J.
Coaches
Correia A.	Schreuder D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Chery T. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Hardeveld J. ⚽, Noslin T. (A),
26', Onal B. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Linssen B. ⚽, Onal B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Ogawa K. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
60', Onal B. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Hardeveld J. ⚽, Rossen N. (A),
67', Hetli S. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Ouaissa S. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
69', Chery T. ↓, van Crooij V. ↑,
69', Sandler P. ↓, Willems J. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Shiogai K. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
78', Hetli S. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
78', Brouwer P. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
86', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
86', Noslin T. ↓, Hamdaoui M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 1.

Telstar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nijmegen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nijmegen could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Nijmegen: Cillessen J. (Injury) El Kachati Y. (Injury) Entius F. (Knee Injury) Kaplan A. (Yellow Cards) Lebreton N. (Injury) Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Pereira B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Telstar: Koswal D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Nijmegen: Fonville D. (Injury) Sandler P. (Knock)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.3:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Telstar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.8:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
06.12.25	Heracles Almelo - Telstar	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Telstar - Feyenoord	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Telstar - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Twente - Telstar	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Telstar - Excelsior	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLTTT
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
07.12.25	Volendam - NEC Nijmegen	2:3 ✺
29.11.25	NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen	2:4 ✺
09.11.25	NEC Nijmegen - Groningen	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.04.21	NEC Nijmegen - Telstar	1:1
03.01.21	Telstar - NEC Nijmegen	5:2
07.02.20	Telstar - NEC Nijmegen	1:7
30.08.19	NEC Nijmegen - Telstar	4:2
18.01.19	NEC Nijmegen - Telstar	1:1
19.10.18	Telstar - NEC Nijmegen	0:3
02.04.18	NEC Nijmegen - Telstar	3:0

Upcoming Matches