The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
NEC Nijmegen 58.4%
Draw 21.8%
Sparta Rotterdam 19.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.6%
23.1%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
22.9%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
12.5%
4.2%
NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
NEC Nijmegen will win
(20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% โ 98.24%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): NEC Nijmegen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 14. Dasa E. 3. Sandler P. 4. Kaplan A. 25. Ouaissa S. 23. Sano K. 6. Nejasmic D. 11. Onal B. 10. Chery T. (C) 30. Linssen B. 18. Ogawa K.
1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Sambo S. 3. Young M. 4. Quintero T. 5. van Aanholt P. 6. Baas J. 8. Kitolano J. (C) 7. van Bergen M. 10. Duijvestijn L. 11. Mito S. 9. Lauritsen T.
Substitutes
35. de Laat S. 24. Fonville D. 21. Gonzalez R. 31. Janse R. (G) 7. Misidjan V. 5. Ouwejan T. 38. Overmars M. (G) 71. Proper D. 33. Sbai Y. 9. Shiogai K. 32. van Crooij V. 15. Willems J.
12. Bakari S. 20. Bednarek F. (G) 18. Clement P. 21. de Guzman J. 15. Kleijn M. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 13. Martes L. 17. Oufkir A. 22. Santos A. 19. Thorisson N. 16. Toornstra J. 14. Velthuis T.
Coaches
Schreuder D.
Steijn M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ogawa K. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
26', Sandler P. 🟨,
31', Duijvestijn L. 🟨,
45+6', Quintero T. 🟨,
45+6', 2 - 0, Ogawa K. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 3 - 0, Ouaissa S. ⚽, Linssen B. (A),
52', van Bergen M. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Lauritsen T. ⚽, Kitolano J. (A),
70', Ogawa K. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
70', Kaplan A. ↓, Willems J. ↑,
70', Linssen B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
71', Baas J. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
71', van Aanholt P. ↓, Kleijn M. ↑,
75', Sambo S. 🟨,
84', Mito S. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
84', Quintero T. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,
88', Sandler P. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
90+2', Shiogai K. 🟨,
90+2', Young M. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.
Nijmegen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Sparta Rotterdam has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of away games.
Recently, Sparta Rotterdam has had a series of home games.
In this match, Nijmegen is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: de Guzman J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Nijmegen: El Kachati Y.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Martins Indi B.
(Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
Netherlands
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Crettaz G. (G) 
Dasa E. 
Sandler P. 
Kaplan A. 
Sano K. 
Nejasmic D. 
Chery T. (C) 
Sambo S. 
Quintero T. 
Kitolano J. (C) 
Gonzalez R. 
Bakari S. 
Bednarek F. (G) 
Thorisson N. 
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