Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Mendez Chavez I. N. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	América Mineiro		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.75
	1.79	3.6	4.35
	1.7	3.86	4.93
	1.67	3.4	4.75
	1.72	3.58	5	Watch
	1.73	3.55	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.98)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	4.84 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
54.6%

Draw
26%

Defensa y Justicia
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

26.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América Mineiro's performance.

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensa y Justicia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensa y Justicia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

América Mineiro - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

América MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently América MG have a series of home games.

In this match América MG is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches América MG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
20.05.23	América Mineiro - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.05.23	América Mineiro - Internacional RS	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
14.05.23	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	0:4 ✺
10.05.23	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	América Mineiro - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLTL
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.05.23	Rosario Central - Defensa y Justicia	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
08.05.23	San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Defensa y Justicia - Peñarol de Montevideo	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.04.23	Defensa y Justicia - Colón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
19.04.23	Defensa y Justicia - América Mineiro	2:1

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