Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Engenheiro Sílvio Henriques Cerveira (Anadia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Anadia		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.83
	3.5	3.5	1.89
	3.85	3.65	1.99
	3.75	3.52	1.94	Watch
	3.65	3.48	1.86
	3.5	3.5	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.58)	3.51 ↑ (3.3)	1.9 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anadia
25.4%

Draw
26.2%

Lusitânia
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

27.7%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.7%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anadia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anadia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Lusitânia aligns with the current prediction.

Anadia - Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
64. Martins T. (G) 3. Casagrande P. 17. Conceicao M. 8. Erivaldo 26. Gaio P. 6. Izata D. 15. Lucas J. 19. Silva R. 23. Sinisterra J. 99. Yan Maranhao 80. Zimbabwe	1. Cioletti G. (G) 7. Avto 85. Castro D. 4. Collard D. 22. Faria B. 77. Goba Zakpa 6. Martins H. 5. Oliveira J. 18. Pereira D. 11. Pereira M. 88. Teixeira M.
Substitutes
14. Andre Mendy 10. Carvalho D. 70. de Azevedo Carvalho J. F. 12. Liberal D. 25. Mathiola 91. Patrick Vieira 33. Rodrigues N. (G) 11. Teles D. 71. Terpugov N.	29. Cerveira T. 20. Faria R. 28. Mesquita T. 2. Nhayson 80. Renato Luis 10. Ribeiro S. 41. Ricardo M. (G) 8. Tokinho Doria 9. Villela L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Castro D. 🟨,
37', Gaio P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Yan Maranhao ⚽,
54', Sinisterra J. 🟨,
62', Silva R. ↓, Liberal D. ↑,
62', Zimbabwe 🟨,
64', Oliveira J. 🟨,
66', Zimbabwe ↓, Teles D. ↑,
67', Conceicao M. ↓, Andre Mendy ↑,
70', Avto 🟨,
73', Teixeira M. ↓, Villela L. ↑,
73', Castro D. ↓, Nhayson ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Andre Mendy ⚽,
77', Yan Maranhao ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
77', Erivaldo ↓, Mathiola ↑,
79', Martins H. 🟨,
83', Martins H. ↓, Tokinho Doria ↑,
83', Avto ↓, Ribeiro S. ↑,
88', Pereira D. ↓, Faria R. ↑,
90', Faria B. 🟨,
90', Liberal D. 🟨,
90', Villela L. 🟨,
90+2', Pereira M. 🟨,
90+5', Ribeiro S. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Anadia won 1.

Anadia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lusitânia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Anadia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lusitânia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Anadia won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Anadia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anadia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
01.11.24	Varzim - Anadia	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Anadia - Fafe	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Anadia - Estrela da Amadora	1:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
05.10.24	São João de Ver - Anadia	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Anadia - Trofense	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLLW
- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
01.11.24	Lusitânia - São João de Ver	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Lusitânia - Trofense	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Chaves - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Sanjoanense - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Lusitânia - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
11.08.24	Lusitânia - Anadia	3:2
21.01.24	Anadia - Lusitânia	0:0
08.10.23	Lusitânia - Anadia	4:0
23.04.22	Lusitânia - Anadia	0:1
03.04.22	Anadia - Lusitânia	1:1
02.02.22	Anadia - Lusitânia	2:1
18.09.21	Lusitânia - Anadia	3:2

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