Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 May 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Ancona		Lecco

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.5
	2.75	3	2.35
	2.73	2.89	2.66
	2.58	3.13	2.64	Watch
	2.65	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.4)	2.99 ↓ (3.05)	2.54 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ancona
34%

Draw
30.3%

Lecco
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

29.3%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ancona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Ancona - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ancona will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Lecco will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lecco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
14.05.23	Carrarese - Ancona	0:1 ✺
11.05.23	Ancona - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
23.04.23	Recanatese - Ancona	4:0 ✺
15.04.23	Ancona - Rimini	3:0 ✺
06.04.23	Alessandria - Ancona	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLWL
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
22.04.23	Lecco - Pro Vercelli	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	Padova - Lecco	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Lecco - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
03.04.23	Renate - Lecco	0:2 ✺
26.03.23	Lecco - Triestina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Ancona 1905
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Siena - Ancona	✺
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
01.11.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Lecco	✺

Ancona - Lecco