Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 35

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	FIFA+


	Padova		Lecco

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.1	6.75
	1.38	4.3	8.2
	1.41	4.14	8.93	Watch
	1.4	3.8	9
	1.33	4.05	9.95	Watch
	1.38	4.3	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	4.12 ↑ (4.1)	8.51 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
66.7%

Draw
22.4%

Lecco
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

22.1%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

18.3%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Padova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Padova - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Lecco will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 4. Belli F. 2. Delli Carri F. 5. Perrotta M. 26. Kirwan N. (C) 6. Crisetig L. 8. Fusi P. 14. Villa L. 7. Varas K. 92. Buonaiuto C. 20. Bortolussi M.	1. Furlan J. (G) 37. Martic M. 4. Marrone L. 13. Battistini M. 80. Kritta M. 26. Frigerio M. R. 21. Zanellato N. 28. Marino A. 6. Anderson D. 11. Galeandro A. 25. Sipos L.
Substitutes
15. Bianchi N. 17. Capelli A. 11. Cretella C. 72. Faedo C. 30. Favale G. 23. Granata A. 21. Liguori M. 37. Montrone A. 31. Pirrello R. 10. Russini S. 16. Sala A. (G) 9. Spagnoli A. 19. Valente N. 12. Voltan M. (G)	10. Attys C. 39. Cavallini G. 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 70. Di Dio F. 8. Di Gesu E. 12. Fall A. M. (G) 16. Ferrini M. 7. Grassini D. 19. Kristoffersen . J. 77. Mendoza A. 99. Polito V. 14. Stanga L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Varas K. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Varas K. ⚽,
15', Varas K. 🟨,
38', Crisetig L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Anderson D. ↓, Di Dio F. ↑,
51', Marrone L. 🟨,
59', Kirwan N. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
65', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Spagnoli A. ↑,
72', Martic M. 🟨,
73', Marrone L. ↓, Cavallini G. ↑,
73', Galeandro A. ↓, Kristoffersen . J. ↑,
74', Capelli A. 🟨,
78', 2 - 1, Frigerio M. R. ⚽,
79', Fusi P. 🟨,
86', Fusi P. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
88', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Mendoza A. ↑,
88', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Mendoza A. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 14).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Padova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Padova is certain favorite.

There will not play in Padova: Liguori M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lecco: Attys C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Lecco: Lepore F. (Inactive)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Padova won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 2.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
30.03.25	Atalanta U23 - Padova	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Novara - Padova	2:1 ✺
17.03.25	Padova - Pergolettese	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Renate - Padova	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	Padova - AlbinoLeffe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLW
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
31.03.25	Lecco - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Virtus Verona - Lecco	1:1 ✺
17.03.25	Lecco - Vicenza Virtus	1:1 ✺
13.03.25	Alcione - Lecco	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Lecco - FeralpiSalò	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
23.11.24	Lecco - Padova	0:3
16.04.23	Padova - Lecco	3:1
11.12.22	Lecco - Padova	2:1
16.02.22	Padova - Lecco	2:1
09.10.21	Lecco - Padova	3:2

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