Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 21

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Lecco		Triestina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.15
	1.62	3.5	5.49	Watch
	1.73	3	4.6
	1.84	3.26	4.56	Watch
	1.69	3.2	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	5.09 ↓ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lecco
54.1%

Draw
27.8%

Triestina
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

27%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.7%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lecco - Triestina Predictions

Users Predictions: Lecco will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lecco will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Furlan J. (G) 41. Romani L. 4. Marrone L. (C) 18. Tanco G. J. 45. Rizzo M. 5. Zanellato N. 6. Mallamo A. 21. Metlika A. 80. Kritta M. 10. Furrer G. 25. Sipos L.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 26. D'Amore F. 23. Silvestri T. (C) 6. Moretti A. 14. Anzolin M. 17. Jonsson K. 15. Voca I. 33. Crnigoj D. 27. Faggioli A. 10. D'Urso C. 29. Kljajic N.
Substitutes
78. Anastasini J. 27. Basili D. 14. Bonaiti S. 90. Constant G. (G) 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 16. Ferrini M. 11. Galeandro A. 7. Grassini D. 33. Lovisa N. 20. Mihali L. 73. Nova E. 17. Pellegrino G.	8. Attys C. 19. Bagnoli E. 22. Borriello F. (G) 25. Ellertsson M. P. 11. Gunduz T. 5. Kosijer S. 30. Neri F. (G) 3. Palma L. 28. Pedicillo L. 21. Tonetto M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Sipos L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tanco G. J. 🟨,
53', Faggioli A. ↓, Gunduz T. ↑,
65', Rizzo M. ↓, Mihali L. ↑,
65', Zanellato N. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
65', Furrer G. ↓, Basili D. ↑,
76', Mallamo A. ↓, Nova E. ↑,
80', Crnigoj D. ↓, Attys C. ↑,
86', Sipos L. ↓, Galeandro A. ↑,
87', Jonsson K. ↓, Ellertsson M. P. ↑,
90', Tonetto M. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Triestina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lecco is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
03.01.26	Ospitaletto - Lecco	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Lecco - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Lumezzane - Lecco	1:1 ✺
08.12.25	Lecco - Alcione	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vicenza Virtus - Lecco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTWL
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
05.01.26	Triestina - Alcione	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Triestina - AlbinoLeffe	5:2 ✺
08.12.25	Giana Erminio - Triestina	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Triestina - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
30.08.25	Triestina - Lecco	1:1
26.01.25	Triestina - Lecco	1:1
21.09.24	Lecco - Triestina	2:1
26.03.23	Lecco - Triestina	0:0
27.11.22	Triestina - Lecco	1:2
29.01.22	Lecco - Triestina	2:0
26.09.21	Triestina - Lecco	2:0

Upcoming Matches