The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 43%
Draw 28.8%
KV Mechelen 28.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.7%
28.9%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
29.8%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
33.3%
44.4%
Oud Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Mechelen will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 11.9% โ 76.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Mechelen (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Leysen T. (G) 28. Pletinckx E. 3. Dussenne N. 30. Akimoto T. 27. Gil O. 8. Schrijvers S. (C) 24. Lakomy L. 7. Verlinden T. 14. Teklab H. 10. Maziz Y. 19. Ikwuemesi C.
13. Miras N. (G) 33. St. Jago T. 2. Halhal R. 3. Marsa J. 7. Koudou T. 6. Hammar F. 19. Mrabti K. 17. Servais M. 9. van Brederode M. 10. Kireev M. 28. Boersma B.
Substitutes
6. George W. 61. Jochmans O. (G) 39. Kaba S. 33. Maertens M. 43. McAlinney L. 34. Nyakossi R. 5. Ominami T. 99. Opoku D. 95. Radelet T. (G) 9. Traore A. K. 4. Verstraete B.
38. Antonio B. 11. Bafdili B. 12. Bande H. 39. Decoene M. 27. Kiki 8. Konate M. 14. Raman B. 18. Struyf I. 15. Van Ingelgom T. (G)
Coaches
Mazzu F.
Vanderbiest F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Marsa J. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Schrijvers S. (Penalty Awarded),
35', Akimoto T. 🟨,
43', Dussenne N. ↓, Ominami T. ↑,
45+4', Lakomy L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Halhal R. 🟨,
51', 2 - 0, Ikwuemesi C. ⚽, Ominami T. (A),
55', Marsa J. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
55', Kireev M. ↓, Vanrafelghem K. ↑,
56', Koudou T. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Servais M. ⚽,
63', Vanrafelghem K. 🟨,
65', Schrijvers S. 🟨,
69', Verlinden T. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
69', Gil O. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Vanrafelghem K. ⚽, Boersma B. (A),
79', Schrijvers S. ↓, Verstraete B. ↑,
79', Maziz Y. ↓, Traore A. K. ↑,
88', Mrabti K. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
90', St. Jago T. 🟨,
90+2', Hammar F. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 1.
Leuven has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mechelen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Leuven may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Leuven could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Leuven: Kayo B.
(Knock)
Vlietinck T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Mechelen: Raman B.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).