The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Angostura 36.4%
Draw 29.7%
Zamora 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
29.2%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
29.1%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Angostura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zamora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angostura than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Angostura - Zamora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Gallo M. (G) 18. Lovera J. 13. Matos A. 4. Montanez A. 9. Velasco A. 79. Roca C. 28. Pacheco J. 16. Silgado J. 10. Gonzalez L. 26. Zamora T. 32. Zappacosta J.
1. Teran L. (G) 6. Urpin C. 31. Gomez S. 4. Soto M. 13. Granados J. 11. Rivas Y. 10. Lopez A. 8. Flores A. 25. Quintero M. 7. Marquez M. 70. Montero Y.
Substitutes
20. Asibe S. 33. Dominguez A. 17. Farreras A. 31. Gomez J. 2. Graterol J. 1. Lopez V. (G) 25. Maldonado M. 21. Moreno D. 5. Pereira E. 37. Rodriguez Mora A. A. 7. Rondon J.
17. Acuna R. 21. Figueroa R. 3. Mosquera Y. 2. Osorio C. 14. Ramirez I. 22. Salazar A. (G)
Coaches
Castillo O.
Maggiolo E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Gonzalez L. ⚽, Zamora T. (A),
26', Zamora T. 🟨,
45', Urpin C. 🟨,
45+1', Rivas Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lopez A. ↓, Femia N. ↑,
46', Marquez M. ↓, Acuna R. ↑,
46', Zappacosta J. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Rivas Y. ⚽, Granados J. (A),
56', Lovera J. 🟨,
64', Pacheco J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
64', Zamora T. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
64', Rivas Y. ↓, Figueroa R. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Acuna R. ⚽, Quintero M. (A),
71', Montero Y. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
71', Roca C. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
79', Gomez J. 🟨,
79', Gonzalez L. ↓, Asibe S. ↑,
83', Quintero M. ↓, Mosquera Y. ↑,
90+1', Mosquera Y. 🟥,
90+3', Teran L. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
Angostura is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Zamora is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Angostura could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Angostura won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Angostura won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.