Match Info

League One - Round 32

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Links Park (Montrose)


	Montrose		Arbroath

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.05
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.25	3.35	2.11
	3.36	3.38	2.12	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.1
	3.33	3.38	2.06	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.29)	3.34 ↓ (3.45)	2.09 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montrose
28.2%

Draw
27.6%

Arbroath
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

26.6%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

25.8%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Montrose - Arbroath Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Montrose will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Arbroath will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arbroath (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gill C. (G) 4. Quinn A. 10. Gardyne M. 11. Lyons B. 5. Waddell K. 12. Freeman K. 9. Stirton O. 14. Dillon S. 22. Brown C. 16. Sandilands C. 26. Wighton C.	21. McAdams A. (G) 4. Wilkie J. 11. Dow R. 12. Stewart S. 5. O'Brien T. 19. Penman C. 6. Stanton S. 14. Taylor F. 25. Winter A. 27. Muirhead A. 20. Flynn R.
Substitutes
20. Bertie K. 23. Machado M. 15. Maciver-Redwood B. 25. Martin A. 6. Masson T. 21. Matthews R. (G) 24. Pollard L. 8. Watson P. 7. Webster G.	9. Gallagher C. 17. King B. 31. Mcconnell J. (G) 24. McKechnie K. 22. Murray I. 32. Spalding A. 2. Steele A. 26. Thomson J. 15. Watson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', O'Brien T. 🟨,
13', Wighton C. ↓, Masson T. ↑,
45', 0 - 1, Stewart S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Waddell K. ↓, Webster G. ↑,
64', Stanton S. 🟨,
67', Flynn R. 🟨,
72', Quinn A. 🟨,
72', Dow R. ↓, Steele A. ↑,
72', Penman C. ↓, Murray I. ↑,
77', Brown C. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
83', Dillon S. ↓, Watson P. ↑,
83', Gardyne M. ↓, Maciver-Redwood B. ↑,
85', Steele A. 🟨,
89', O'Brien T. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montrose won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Arbroath will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Montrose won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 13:35 (average 0.7:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Montrose won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:15 (average 1:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
29.03.25	Stenhousemuir - Montrose	2:3 ✺
22.03.25	Montrose - Annan Athletic	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Montrose - Cove Rangers	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Kelty Hearts - Montrose	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Inverness - Montrose	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWTTT
- Arbroath
Scottish League One
29.03.25	Arbroath - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Kelty Hearts - Arbroath	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Arbroath - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Alloa Athletic - Arbroath	2:3 ✺
04.03.25	Dumbarton - Arbroath	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
28.12.24	Arbroath - Montrose	3:0
09.11.24	Montrose - Arbroath	1:1
Scottish Challenge Cup
07.09.24	Arbroath - Montrose	3:0
Scottish League One
10.08.24	Arbroath - Montrose	0:0
Scottish League Cup
29.07.23	Arbroath - Montrose	3:0
Club Friendly
01.07.23	Arbroath - Montrose	1:3
26.06.21	Montrose - Arbroath	1:1

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