Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 23

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday

Location: Parc des Sports (Annecy)

Referee: Thual O. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Spain	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Annecy		Caen

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	3	Watch
	2.35	2.9	2.95
	2.44	3.15	3.23
	2.28	3.21	3.18	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.9
	2.36	3.31	3.23	Watch
	2.35	2.9	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.93)	3.11 ↓ (3.29)	3.06 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español

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Current Win Probability

Annecy
39.5%

Draw
30%

Caen
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

25.5%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Annecy's form might have worsened.

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10.9%	9.1%

Annecy - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: Annecy will win (44 of 53 users predict this - 83.02%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.91% – 93.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Escales F. (G) 41. Delphis T. 15. Bane S. 18. Drouhin A. 21. N'Sakala F. 17. Pajot V. 5. Kashi A. (C) 28. Larose A. 24. Demoncy Y. 10. Djoco K. 9. Dago T.	1. Mandrea A. (G) 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 29. Thomas R. (C) 61. Traore B. 20. Lebreton N. 6. M'Vila Y. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 25. Sy L. 27. Gaudin J. 18. Coulibaly K. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
26. Bermont A. 22. Billemaz C. 16. Callens T. (G) 4. Ganiou I. 27. Kouadio J. 33. Paris Q. 20. Tiendrebeogo J.	88. Ba Loua A. 3. Bolumbu D. 16. Clementia Y. (G) 8. Le Bihan M. 50. Najim I. 91. Ntim E. 14. Rajot L.
Coaches
Guyot L.	Baltazar B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Demoncy Y. ⚽,
38', N'Sakala F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moucketou-Moussounda A. ↓, Ntim E. ↑,
58', Djoco K. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
71', Gaucho Debohi D. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
71', Sy L. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
72', Dago T. ↓, Paris Q. ↑,
72', Demoncy Y. ↓, Tiendrebeogo J. ↑,
80', Gaudin J. ↓, Ba Loua A. ↑,
86', Larose A. ↓, Billemaz C. ↑,
86', Lebreton N. ↓, Le Bihan M. ↑,
90', Paris Q. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Recent matches Annecy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Caen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Annecy have a series of guest games.

Annecy will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Caen: Brahimi B. (Red Card)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Annecy won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Annecy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annecy FC
French Ligue 2
07.02.25	Laval - Annecy	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Amiens - Annecy	1:0 ✺
27.01.25	Annecy - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
20.01.25	Troyes - Annecy	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Stade Briochin - Annecy	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWL
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
10.02.25	Caen - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Troyes - Caen	3:0 ✺
24.01.25	Caen - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
17.01.25	Ajaccio - Caen	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Caen - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.08.24	Caen - Annecy	1:1
23.04.24	Caen - Annecy	2:1
06.12.23	Annecy - Caen	1:2
31.01.23	Annecy - Caen	2:0
12.11.22	Caen - Annecy	0:0

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