Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 35

Date: 15 May 2023, Monday

Location: Parc des Sports (Annecy)

Referee: Thual O. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Turkey	beIN Sports 4


	Annecy		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.8	Watch
	4.75	3.25	1.8
	5	3.4	1.7
	5.06	3.41	1.83
	4.5	3.3	1.8
	4.65	3.52	1.79	Watch
	4.5	3.35	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (3.46)	3.36 ↑ (3.05)	1.79 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annecy
19.9%

Draw
27.8%

Le Havre
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

30.4%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

29.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Annecy's form might have worsened.

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Havre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Annecy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Havre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	14%	76%

Annecy - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Annecy will win (votes: 5 - 10%). Le Havre will win (votes: 38 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 64.2% – 87.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Annecy has the most likely position - 18 (29.24%), project points - 42, currently - 38, a good chance of relegated (54%), not chance of promoted.

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (94.99%), project points - 78, currently - 71, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of promoted (>99%), a good chance of win league (95%).

This event has small quality 30, big importance 79, match rating 54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Annecy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Le Havre is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Annecy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Le Havre is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Annecy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annecy FC
French Ligue 2
06.05.23	Annecy - Dijon	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Quevilly - Annecy	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Annecy - Rodez	0:3 ✺
15.04.23	Bastia - Annecy	3:0 ✺
10.04.23	Annecy - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTLLW
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
08.05.23	Le Havre - Rodez	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Caen - Le Havre	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Le Havre - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Nîmes - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Le Havre - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
17.09.22	Le Havre - Annecy	2:0

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