Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 34

Date: 8 May 2023, Monday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports


	Le Havre		Rodez

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.53	3.75	6.5
	1.5	3.9	6.4
	1.55	3.87	7.51
	1.52	3.7	6.5
	1.55	3.8	6.7	Watch
	1.54	3.8	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)	3.8 ↑ (3.55)	6.64 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
61.3%

Draw
24.7%

Rodez
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

26.2%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

25.8%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	13.6%	13.6%

Le Havre - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Rodez will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 13).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (86.97%), project points - 77, currently - 68, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of promoted (99%), a good chance of win league (87%).

Rodez has the most likely position - 13 (31.37%), project points - 46, currently - 41, a very small chance of relegated (2%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 35, importance 41, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Le Havre is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Le Havre to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
29.04.23	Caen - Le Havre	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Le Havre - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Nîmes - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Le Havre - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Pau - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWTW
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
29.04.23	Rodez - Saint-Étienne	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Annecy - Rodez	0:3 ✺
15.04.23	Rodez - Laval	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Dijon - Rodez	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Rodez - Quevilly	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
15.10.22	Rodez - Le Havre	1:1
22.01.22	Le Havre - Rodez	0:0
14.08.21	Rodez - Le Havre	0:0
24.04.21	Rodez - Le Havre	1:1
22.12.20	Le Havre - Rodez	1:1
29.11.19	Rodez - Le Havre	1:2

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