Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Le Havre		Quevilly

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	5	Watch
	1.8	3.1	5
	1.8	2.95	5.25
	1.83	3.17	5.7
	1.73	3.1	5.5
	1.77	3.28	5.35	Watch
	1.82	3.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.88)	3.11 ↓ (3.23)	5.26 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
52.2%

Draw
30%

Quevilly
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

29%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

28.4%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	31.6%	0%

Le Havre - Quevilly Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 8).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (90.74%), project points - 77, currently - 64, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of promoted (98%), a good chance of win league (91%).

Quevilly has the most likely position - 9 (22.2%), project points - 52, currently - 43, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 36, importance 37, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 4.

Le Havre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Quevilly is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Le Havre is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
15.04.23	Nîmes - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Le Havre - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Pau - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Le Havre - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
13.03.23	Metz - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWTT
- US Quevilly
French Ligue 2
15.04.23	Quevilly - Dijon	2:2 ✺
08.04.23	Quevilly - Caen	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Rodez - Quevilly	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Quevilly - Metz	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Nîmes - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
05.11.22	Quevilly - Le Havre	0:1
05.03.22	Quevilly - Le Havre	0:2
21.09.21	Le Havre - Quevilly	1:0
Club Friendly
07.07.21	Quevilly - Le Havre	0:1
13.07.18	Le Havre - Quevilly	0:0
French Ligue 2
30.03.18	Le Havre - Quevilly	0:2
27.10.17	Quevilly - Le Havre	0:2

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