Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Gayfield Park (Arbroath)


	Arbroath		East Fife

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.78	3.4	3.7
	1.55	3.85	5.3
	1.59	3.6	5.52	Watch
	1.6	3.3	5
	1.57	3.64	5.32
	1.55	3.66	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.78)	3.58 ↑ (3.4)	5.19 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arbroath
57%

Draw
25.4%

East Fife
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.1%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

24.7%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arbroath's performance.

East Fife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and East Fife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Fife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arbroath - East Fife Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arbroath (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Marshall F. ⚽, Robinson S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Marshall F. ⚽, Stewart S. (A),
90+2', 3 - 0, McManus C. (Own goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 4.

Arbroath is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, East Fife has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

East Fife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arbroath is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Arbroath won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
23	East Fife	5	2	1	2	12:11	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
10.01.26	Raith Rovers - Arbroath	2:3 ✺
03.01.26	St. Johnstone - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Arbroath - Airdrieonians	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Ross County - Arbroath	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Arbroath - Partick Thistle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLTWW
- East Fife
Scottish League One
10.01.26	Stenhousemuir - East Fife	5:0 ✺
27.12.25	East Fife - Kelty Hearts	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	East Fife - Peterhead	0:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Elgin City - East Fife	2:3 ✺
Scottish League One
13.12.25	Cove Rangers - East Fife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Cup
29.11.25	East Fife - Arbroath	0:2
Scottish Challenge Cup
24.09.22	Arbroath - East Fife	2:1
Scottish League Cup
14.07.21	Arbroath - East Fife	2:0
Scottish League One
16.03.19	Arbroath - East Fife	2:1
26.02.19	East Fife - Arbroath	1:1
03.11.18	Arbroath - East Fife	1:0
25.08.18	East Fife - Arbroath	0:3

Upcoming Matches