Match Info

League One - Round 19

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: MGM Timber Bayview Stadium (Methil)


	East Fife		Kelty Hearts

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.52	4.05	5.3
	1.7	3.61	4.87	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.5
	1.49	3.82	6.02	Watch
	1.77	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	3.73 ↓ (3.87)	4.99 ↓ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Fife
56.9%

Draw
24.7%

Kelty Hearts
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

17.6%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Fife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with East Fife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kelty Hearts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

East Fife - Kelty Hearts Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Rollo M. (G) 20. Bah M. 5. Easton B. (C) 3. Newton L. 11. Peggie R. 17. Latona L. 6. McManus C. 22. McKenna M. 4. Millar K. 23. Culbert S. 24. Goss T.	46. Gourlay K. (G) 2. Thomas M. 4. O'Ware T. 35. Brydon J. 3. Paterson B. 8. Arnott A. 15. Clay C. (C) 10. Murray I. 17. McCarvel L. 16. Diack R. 7. Moore L.
Substitutes
7. Fairley J. 27. Jones R. 2. Linton J. 12. Nicol G. 8. Slattery P. 1. Thomson K. (G)	1. Armour C. (G) 12. Carroll L. 14. Graham J. 9. Johnston C. 30. Leitch G. 23. Masson C. 27. Wyllie J. 31. Young G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Diack R. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Moore L. ⚽, Thomas M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Goss T. ↓, Jones R. ↑,
68', Diack R. ↓, Johnston C. ↑,
69', Newton L. ↓, Nicol G. ↑,
75', Murray I. 🟨,
81', Bah M. 🟨,
81', Brydon J. 🟨,
90+3', McCarvel L. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by East Fife have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kelty Hearts is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

East Fife may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, East Fife is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, East Fife won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, East Fife won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Fife
Scottish League One
20.12.25	East Fife - Peterhead	0:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Elgin City - East Fife	2:3 ✺
Scottish League One
13.12.25	Cove Rangers - East Fife	0:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
29.11.25	East Fife - Arbroath	0:2 ✺
Scottish League One
22.11.25	Montrose - East Fife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLL
- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
20.12.25	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	2:5 ✺
13.12.25	Peterhead - Kelty Hearts	3:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	Arbroath - Kelty Hearts	3:2 ✺
Scottish League One
06.12.25	Kelty Hearts - Montrose	0:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
29.11.25	Kelty Hearts - Brechin City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
25.10.25	Kelty Hearts - East Fife	0:3
23.08.25	East Fife - Kelty Hearts	2:1
Scottish League Cup
19.07.25	Kelty Hearts - East Fife	0:1
17.07.21	Kelty Hearts - East Fife	3:0

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