Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Sestao		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	3
	2.35	2.8	2.95
	2.45	2.7	2.95
	2.52	2.92	3.12
	2.44	2.85	3.06	Watch
	2.5	2.79	3.09
	2.45	2.7	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.6)	2.78 ↓ (2.8)	3.02 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
37%

Draw
32.8%

Zamora
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

31.7%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

31.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Sestao - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Herrerin I. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 5. Martinez G. 12. Barandalla M. 21. Miranda A. 22. Etxeberria M. 14. Garcia S. 4. Relu 15. Bustillo M. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. (C) 11. Etxaniz J.	1. Sobron F. (G) 2. Gorjon A. 16. Gutierrez C. 5. Alvarez A. 3. Nieto S. 15. Lucero R. 14. Kike 4. Claveria P. 10. Ramos C. (C) 20. Tresaco R. 9. Pito Camacho
Substitutes
9. Aznar D. 18. Cordoba A. 23. Efremov A. 8. Garai G. 1. Garrido J. (G) 6. Gomez A. 30. Matar P. 7. Planas A. 19. Rojo J. 17. Samperio J.	13. Altube D. (G) 19. Bello E. 22. Castaneda J. 12. Frimpong E. 7. Hernandez D. 18. Macho G. 21. Priego J. 6. Ramirez J. 11. Romero Morillo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Kike ⚽,
28', Gutierrez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Relu ↓, Garai G. ↑,
52', Alvarez J. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
52', Martinez Ortiz L. ↓, Aznar D. ↑,
59', 🟨,
67', Tresaco R. ↓, Macho G. ↑,
67', Lucero R. ↓, Frimpong E. ↑,
70', Barandalla M. ↓, Samperio J. ↑,
71', Pito Camacho ↓, Castaneda J. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Etxaniz J. ⚽,
81', 🟨,
81', Nieto S. ↓, Priego J. ↑,
81', Kike ↓, Bello E. ↑,
84', Garcia S. ↓, Rojo J. ↑,
85', Alvarez A. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sestao will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sestao won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.02.25	Sestao - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Sestao	2:0 ✺
17.01.25	Sestao - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
11.01.25	Ponferradina - Sestao	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Sestao - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLLWW
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.02.25	Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Tarazona - Zamora	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Zamora - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Real Unión de Irun - Zamora	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Zamora - Arenteiro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Zamora - Sestao	1:2

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