Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 29

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Arezzo		Ancona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.2	3	3.4	Watch
	2.16	3.05	3.17
	2.25	2.98	3.6
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.15	2.95	3.42
	2.17	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.86)	2.98 ↓ (3.4)	3.33 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
42%

Draw
30.6%

Ancona
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.6%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

25.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arezzo's form might have worsened.

Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Arezzo - Ancona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trombini L. (G) 3. Donati F. 17. Lazzarini M. 13. Chiosa M. 27. Coccia L. 18. Damiani M. 16. Eklu S. M. 10. Pattarello E. 7. Guccione F. 11. Gaddini M. 28. Gucci N.	32. Perucchini F. (G) 5. Mondonico D. 4. Cella S. 27. Pasini N. 23. Clemente G. 33. Prezioso M. 99. Basso G. 8. Gatto E. (C) 19. Agyemang G. 28. Giampaolo D. 9. Spagnoli A.
Substitutes
5. Bianchi S. 22. Borra D. (G) 21. Castiglia L. 20. Catanese G. 12. Ermini J. (G) 24. Foglia F. 2. Montini A. 14. Renzi A. 29. Sebastiani C. 8. Settembrini A.	66. Braghetti M. (G) 11. Cioffi A. 24. D'Eramo M. 10. Energe A. 13. Marenco F. 3. Martina A. 90. Moretti F. 34. Radicchio V. M. 12. Vitali L. (G) 80. Vogiatzis V.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 15).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Arezzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arezzo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
23.02.24	SPAL - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Arezzo - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Cesena - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Pontedera - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Arezzo - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLTT
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
24.02.24	Ancona - Rimini	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Ancona - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
14.02.24	Vis Pesaro - Ancona	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Ancona - Olbia	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Juventus U23 - Ancona	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
26.10.23	Ancona - Arezzo	3:0
13.03.16	Ancona - Arezzo	0:0
31.10.15	Arezzo - Ancona	0:0

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