Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 27

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Arezzo		Recanatese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.75	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.74	3.35	4.17
	1.77	3.51	4.83
	1.7	3.4	4.5
	1.67	3.52	4.71
	1.72	3.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.01)	3.44 ↑ (3.15)	4.49 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
53.1%

Draw
26.5%

Recanatese
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

29.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

24.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arezzo's performance.

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arezzo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Recanatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Arezzo - Recanatese Predictions

Users Predictions: Arezzo will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trombini L. (G) 17. Lazzarini M. 25. Masetti L. 6. Polvani L. 2. Montini A. 5. Bianchi S. 18. Damiani M. 10. Pattarello E. 20. Catanese G. 11. Gaddini M. 28. Gucci N.	1. Meli G. (G) 54. Peretti M. 14. Ferrante E. 2. Veltri A. 19. Raimo A. 31. Fiorini M. 16. Morrone B. 25. Longobardi G. 10. Sbaffo A. 8. Carpani G. 9. Melchiorri F.
Substitutes
22. Borra D. (G) 21. Castiglia L. 13. Chiosa M. 27. Coccia L. 3. Donati F. 16. Eklu S. M. 12. Ermini J. (G) 24. Foglia F. 7. Guccione F. 4. Risaliti G. . Sebastiani C. 8. Settembrini A.	74. Ahmetaj M. 37. Ferretti D. 6. Gomez F. 21. Guidobaldi F. 11. Lipari M. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 30. Mazia A. 99. Osama E. (G) 7. Pelamatti A. 4. Prisco A. 24. Raparo M. 5. Shiba C.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Arezzo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recanatese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Arezzo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
13.02.24	Cesena - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Pontedera - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Arezzo - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Olbia - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Arezzo - Pescara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTLL
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
13.02.24	Recanatese - Rimini	1:4 ✺
09.02.24	SPAL - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Recanatese - Pontedera	4:5 ✺
26.01.24	Recanatese - Fermana	1:3 ✺
20.01.24	Lucchese - Recanatese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.10.23	Recanatese - Arezzo	2:0

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