Match Info

Date: 4 July 2021, Sunday


	Aris		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	2.55	3.35	2.4	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.6
	2.31	3.58	2.67
	2.35	3.3	2.55
	2.36	3.58	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.45)	3.42 ↓ (3.7)	2.58 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
38.4%

Draw
26.5%

Hajduk Split
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

23.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

17.4%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hajduk Split could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aris - Hajduk Split Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Aris is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hajduk Split is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Hajduk Split could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Club Friendly
01.07.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Aris	2:1 ✺
Greek Super League
16.05.21	AEK Athens - Aris	0:0 ✺
12.05.21	Aris - Panathinaikos	0:0 ✺
09.05.21	PAOK - Aris	2:0 ✺
05.05.21	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLT
- Hajduk Split
Club Friendly
29.06.21	Hajduk Split - Śląsk Wrocław	4:0 ✺
26.06.21	U Craiova 1948 - Hajduk Split	1:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
22.05.21	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:0 ✺
16.05.21	Šibenik - Hajduk Split	0:2 ✺
12.05.21	Hajduk Split - Gorica	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

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