The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arka Gdynia 24.3%
Draw 27.2%
Górnik Zabrze 48.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
29%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
28%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Górnik Zabrze's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Górnik Zabrze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.8%
17.6%
70.6%
Arka Gdynia - Górnik Zabrze Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 48.9% – 92.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Arka (2.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Arka (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DC - Arka (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
EH +1 - Arka (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Górnik Zabrze (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Grobelny J. (C) 23. Hermoso K. 29. Marcjanik M. 33. Abramowicz D. 4. Zator D. 22. Rzuchowski M. 35. Jakubczyk K. 11. Kocyla D. 21. Szysz P. 19. Gutkovskis V. 37. Kerk S.
1. Lubik M. (C) 16. Olkowski P. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. 18. Ambros L. 8. Hellebrand P. 13. Sadilek L. 15. Massimo R. 23. Liseth S. 33. Khlan M.
Substitutes
99. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 7. Kubiak O. 2. Navarro M. 10. Nguiamba A. 27. Oliveira J. 8. Sidibe A. 3. Szota S. 77. Weglarz D. (G)
4. Bochniewicz P. 28. Donio B. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 14. Kubicki J. 99. Loska T. (G) 17. Lukoszek K. 92. Pietryga P. (G) 10. Podolski L. 36. Rakoczy M. 77. Rupanov B. 5. Szczesniak K. 67. Zmrzly O.
Coaches
Banasik D.
Gasparik M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Massimo R. ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
63', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
72', Szysz P. ↓, Kubiak O. ↑,
72', Zator D. ↓, Navarro M. ↑,
81', Rzuchowski M. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
81', Sadilek L. ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
86', Janicki R. 🟨,
89', Ikia Dimi Y. 🟨,
90', Khlan M. ↓, Bochniewicz P. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.
Recent performances by Arka have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Górnik Zabrze is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Górnik Zabrze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Górnik Zabrze could have a small edge in this match.
There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M.
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Arka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Canada
Croatia
Czech-republic
Finland
Germany
Poland
Spain
Switzerland
Usa
World
Watch
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Grobelny J. (C) 
Hermoso K. 
Zator D. 
Gutkovskis V. 
Kerk S. 
Janza E. 
Ambros L. 
Liseth S. 
Khlan M. 
Gaprindashvili T. 
Nguiamba A. 
Oliveira J. 
Sidibe A. 
Rupanov B. 
Gasparik M. 
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