Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 23

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gdyni (Gdynia)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Arka Gdynia		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.1	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.45
	3.25	3.15	2.18	Watch
	3.49	3.4	2.2
	3.33	3.36	2.23	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.1
	3.34	3.38	2.19	Watch
	2.72	3.16	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.86)	3.28 ↑ (3.11)	2.22 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arka Gdynia
29.5%

Draw
28.5%

Lechia Gdańsk
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.7%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Lechia will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Arka (1.67) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lechia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Weglarz D. (G) 3. Szota S. 23. Hermoso K. 94. Gojny D. (C) 2. Navarro M. 35. Jakubczyk K. 6. Perea L. 7. Kubiak O. 31. Rusyn N. 99. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 37. Kerk S.	18. Paulsen A. (C) 33. Wojtowicz T. 4. Pllana B. 80. Rodin M. 27. Vojtko M. 10. Kapic R. 5. Zhelizko I. 11. Mena C. 79. Sezonienko K. 8. Cirkovic A. 89. Bobcek T.
Substitutes
33. Abramowicz D. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 19. Gutkovskis V. 11. Kocyla D. 10. Nguiamba A. 22. Rzuchowski M. 21. Szysz P. 4. Zator D.	15. Dyachuk M. 21. Glogowski M. 16. Jaunzems A. 23. Kalahur M. 2. Kludka B. 90. Kurminowski D. 76. Mavraj I. 99. Neugebauer T. 29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 17. Tsarenko A. 7. Viunnyk B. 1. Weirauch S. (G)
Coaches
Szwarga D.	Carver J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kubiak O. ⚽, Perea L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 2 - 0, Navarro M. ⚽, Hermoso K. (A),
54', 2 - 1, Sezonienko K. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
57', 2 - 2, Zhelizko I. ⚽, Cirkovic A. (A),
67', Cirkovic A. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
71', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Gutkovskis V. ↑,
77', Sezonienko K. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
80', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
80', Navarro M. ↓, Kocyla D. ↑,
86', Rusyn N. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
87', Kapic R. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.

In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Arka: Marcjanik M. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Lechia Gdańsk - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.05%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.02.26	Arka Gdynia - GKS Katowice	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Arka Gdynia - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Arka Gdynia - Raków Częstochowa	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTWL
- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.02.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	2:3 ✺
06.02.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.01.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Mladost Lučani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
24.08.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia	1:0
Polish Division 1
19.05.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia	2:1
24.11.23	Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.05.20	Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia	4:3
20.10.19	Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk	2:2
02.04.19	Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk	0:0
27.10.18	Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia	2:1

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