Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 25

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
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World	Onefootball


	Schalke 04		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.71	4.09
	1.87	3.71	4.01	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.88	3.6	3.89	Watch
	1.94	3.55	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.93)	3.58 ↑ (3.48)	3.91 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
49.7%

Draw
26.3%

Arminia Bielefeld
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.7%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.7%	2.3%	7%

Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Schalke (2.58) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Arminia (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Schalke (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Schalke (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (39 of 43 users predict this - 90.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.02% – 99.38%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Schalke 04 will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 22 - 95.7%). Arminia (votes: 1 - 4.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Muller K. (G) 5. Becker T. 43. Ayhan M. 4. Kurucay H. 16. N'Diaye M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 21. Ljubicic D. 19. Karaman K. (C) 24. Aouchiche A. 10. Dzeko E.	1. Kersken J. (G) 27. Boakye B. 5. Bauer M. 31. Knoche R. 17. Sicker A. 21. Russo S. 6. Corboz M. (C) 11. Grodowski J. 38. Worl M. 22. Rochelt J. 28. Uldrikis R.
Substitutes
47. Amoussou-Tchibara Z. 14. Bachmann J. 7. Gomis C. 37. Gruger M. 45. Khadr M. 32. Podlech L. (G) 2. Sanchez F. 9. Sylla M. 35. Wallentowitz M.	19. Grosser M. 2. Hagmann F. 24. Lannert C. 10. Mehlem M. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 8. Schreck S. 7. Telalovic S. 44. Yasar E.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Dzeko E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Corboz M. 🟨,
59', Rochelt J. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
59', Boakye B. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,
59', Corboz M. ↓, Mehlem M. ↑,
72', Worl M. ↓, Yasar E. ↑,
77', Russo S. 🟨,
78', N'Diaye M. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
78', Ljubicic D. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
88', Dzeko E. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
88', Aouchiche A. ↓, Wallentowitz M. ↑,
89', Grodowski J. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
90+3', Karaman K. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Schalke will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Schalke: Becker V. (Knock) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Karius L. (Back Injury) Katic N. (Yellow Cards) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury) Sylla M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Arminia: Handwerker T. (Yellow Cards) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Momuluh T. (Yellow Cards) Richter D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Arminia: Hagmann F. (Tooth injury) Young I. (Leg Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home match between the teams, Schalke won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Arminia Bielefeld: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	10:12	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
28.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	5:3 ✺
15.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Bochum - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWTL
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
28.02.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04	1:2
German Bundesliga
20.04.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04	1:0
19.12.20	Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1
German DFB Pokal
29.10.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04	2:3
Club Friendly
18.01.16	Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04	1:0

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