Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 25

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:30	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, ESPN
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Brazil	14:30	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada
Colombia	12:30	ESPN
Croatia	18:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Finland	19:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports Extra 1
Hong Kong	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	17:30	Viaplay
Israel	19:30	Sport 1
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 4
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	11:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
Norway	18:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 3
Peru	12:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Saudi Arabia	20:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	01:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	18:30	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Sport TV1
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	20:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+, ESPN
International	17:30	Onefootball


	Schalke 04		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.71	4.09
	1.87	3.71	4.01	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.88	3.6	3.89	Watch
	1.94	3.55	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.93)	3.58 ↑ (3.48)	3.91 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
49.7%

Draw
26.3%

Arminia Bielefeld
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.7%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.7%	2.3%	7%

Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Schalke (2.58) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Arminia (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Schalke (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Schalke (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (39 of 43 users predict this - 90.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.02% – 99.38%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Schalke 04 will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 22 - 95.7%). Arminia (votes: 1 - 4.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Muller K. (G) 5. Becker T. 43. Ayhan M. 4. Kurucay H. 16. N'Diaye M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 21. Ljubicic D. 19. Karaman K. (C) 24. Aouchiche A. 10. Dzeko E.	1. Kersken J. (G) 27. Boakye B. 5. Bauer M. 31. Knoche R. 17. Sicker A. 21. Russo S. 6. Corboz M. (C) 11. Grodowski J. 38. Worl M. 22. Rochelt J. 28. Uldrikis R.
Substitutes
47. Amoussou-Tchibara Z. 14. Bachmann J. 7. Gomis C. 37. Gruger M. 45. Khadr M. 32. Podlech L. (G) 2. Sanchez F. 9. Sylla M. 35. Wallentowitz M.	19. Grosser M. 2. Hagmann F. 24. Lannert C. 10. Mehlem M. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 8. Schreck S. 7. Telalovic S. 44. Yasar E.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Dzeko E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Corboz M. 🟨,
59', Rochelt J. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
59', Boakye B. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,
59', Corboz M. ↓, Mehlem M. ↑,
72', Worl M. ↓, Yasar E. ↑,
77', Russo S. 🟨,
78', N'Diaye M. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
78', Ljubicic D. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
88', Dzeko E. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
88', Aouchiche A. ↓, Wallentowitz M. ↑,
89', Grodowski J. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
90+3', Karaman K. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Schalke will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Schalke: Becker V. (Knock) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Karius L. (Back Injury) Katic N. (Yellow Cards) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury) Sylla M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Arminia: Handwerker T. (Yellow Cards) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Momuluh T. (Yellow Cards) Richter D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Arminia: Hagmann F. (Tooth injury) Young I. (Leg Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home match between the teams, Schalke won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Arminia Bielefeld	10	4	2	4	16:15	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
28.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	5:3 ✺
15.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Bochum - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWTL
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
28.02.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04	1:2
German Bundesliga
20.04.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04	1:0
19.12.20	Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1
German DFB Pokal
29.10.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04	2:3
Club Friendly
18.01.16	Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04	1:0

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