Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 26

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, ESPN
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball


	Magdeburg		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.8	2.8	Watch
	2.28	3.7	2.68
	2.36	3.93	2.92
	2.37	3.83	2.71	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.63
	2.28	3.84	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.25)	3.78 ↑ (3.7)	2.76 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
41%

Draw
24.9%

Darmstadt
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

25%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	15%	45%

Magdeburg - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Darmstadt (1.96) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.5 - Darmstadt (2.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Darmstadt (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 2 - 20%). Darmstadt (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (C) 27. Hercher P. 16. Mathisen M. 5. Muller T. 17. Nollenberger A. 8. Ulrich L. 21. Michel F. 6. Stalmach D. 29. Ghrieb R. 22. Zukowski M. 23. Atik B.	1. Schuhen M. (C) 2. Lopez S. 6. Pfeiffer P. 5. Maglica M. 32. Holland F. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Akiyama H. 23. Richter M. 31. Schmidt N. 8. Marseiler L. 7. Lidberg I.
Substitutes
9. Breunig M. 28. Geschwill M. 25. Gnaka S. 11. Holmstrom A. 24. Hugonet J. 30. Kruth N. (G) 19. Musonda L. 10. Pesch N. 18. Tachie R.	30. Brunst A. (G) 4. Dettoni G. 44. Furukawa Y. 22. Guler S. 19. Lakenmacher F. 15. Nurnberger F. 21. Papela M. 20. Vukotic A.
Coaches
Sander P.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Lidberg I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Atik B. 🟨,
58', Schmidt N. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
58', Holland F. ↓, Nurnberger F. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Nurnberger F. (Own goal),
67', 1 - 1, Nurnberger F. ⚽,
77', Ghrieb R. ↓, Musonda L. ↑,
78', Richter M. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
81', Stalmach D. 🟨,
84', Stalmach D. ↓, Gnaka S. ↑,
84', Zukowski M. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
87', Muller T. 🟨,
90+1', Marseiler L. ↓, Guler S. ↑,
90+1', Hercher P. ↓, Pesch N. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 2.

Recent form of Magdeburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Darmstadt is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Magdeburg: 3.2% Darmstadt: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Magdeburg	7	4	1	2	14:9	5	13
13	Darmstadt	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
06.03.26	Elversberg - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	5:3 ✺
15.02.26	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
07.03.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Darmstadt - Kaiserslautern	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.10.25	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	0:0
02.03.25	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	4:1
28.09.24	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	1:2
19.05.23	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	1:0
10.11.22	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	0:1
German DFB Pokal
13.09.20	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	2:3 ET
German 2 Bundesliga
13.04.19	Magdeburg - Darmstadt	0:1

Magdeburg - Darmstadt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide