Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Arminia Bielefeld		Köln

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.35	2.2
	3.15	3.45	2.22
	3.35	3.51	2.28
	3.3	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.36	3.46	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	3.44 (3.44)	2.2 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
29%

Draw
27.7%

Köln
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.6%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

20.6%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arminia Bielefeld that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arminia Bielefeld - Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 10).

Arminia has the most likely position - 17 (36.32%), has project points - 29, has currently - 9, has a good chance of relegated (55%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Köln has the most likely position - 9 (9.68%), has project points - 47, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Arminia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Köln is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Köln will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German Bundesliga
27.11.21	Bayern Munich - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
20.11.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Wolfsburg	2:2 ✺
06.11.21	Stuttgart - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1 ✺
30.10.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Mainz	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
26.10.21	Mainz - Arminia Bielefeld	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTWLL
- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
27.11.21	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:1 ✺
21.11.21	Mainz - Köln	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.11.21	Köln - Paderborn	4:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.11.21	Köln - Union Berlin	2:2 ✺
30.10.21	Borussia Dortmund - Köln	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
31.01.21	Köln - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1
26.09.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Köln	1:0
German 2 Bundesliga
09.03.19	Köln - Arminia Bielefeld	5:1
28.09.18	Arminia Bielefeld - Köln	1:3
Club Friendly
23.07.16	Arminia Bielefeld - Köln	2:3
German 2 Bundesliga
05.04.14	Köln - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0
25.10.13	Arminia Bielefeld - Köln	0:1

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