Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday


	Arminia Bielefeld		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.95	Watch
	4	3.4	1.95	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.98
	3.9	3.3	1.99
	4.2	3.39	2.04
	4	3.4	1.95
	4.15	3.32	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (4.02)	3.35 ↓ (3.56)	1.99 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
23.5%

Draw
28.5%

Wolfsburg
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.8%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21.3%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolfsburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.2%	9.4%	82.4%

Arminia Bielefeld - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Wolfsburg will win (70 of 85 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.25% – 90.45%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).

Arminia has the most likely position - 17 (29.06%), has project points - 29, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (52%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Wolfsburg has the most likely position - 6 (11.27%), has project points - 51, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (20%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Arminia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wolfsburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Wolfsburg is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arminia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German Bundesliga
06.11.21	Stuttgart - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1 ✺
30.10.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Mainz	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
26.10.21	Mainz - Arminia Bielefeld	3:2 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
23.10.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund	1:3 ✺
17.10.21	Augsburg - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLT
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
06.11.21	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.11.21	Wolfsburg - Red Bull Salzburg	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.10.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	0:2 ✺
23.10.21	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.10.21	Red Bull Salzburg - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
19.02.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Wolfsburg	0:3
25.10.20	Wolfsburg - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1
Club Friendly
22.03.17	Wolfsburg - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
German DFB Pokal
29.04.15	Arminia Bielefeld - Wolfsburg	0:4

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