Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Arminia Bielefeld		Mainz

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.75	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2.15
	3.4	3.3	2.15
	3.61	3.48	2.18
	3.4	3.3	2.15
	3.52	3.54	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)	3.37 ↑ (3.31)	2.14 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
27.1%

Draw
28.3%

Mainz
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

28.7%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

19.4%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arminia Bielefeld, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mainz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arminia Bielefeld - Mainz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Arminia has the most likely position - 17 (24.64%), has project points - 29, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (50%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Mainz has the most likely position - 9 (9.22%), has project points - 47, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (11%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Arminia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mainz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mainz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mainz have a series of home games.

Mainz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German DFB Pokal
26.10.21	Mainz - Arminia Bielefeld	3:2 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
23.10.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund	1:3 ✺
17.10.21	Augsburg - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4 ✺
25.09.21	Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL
- Mainz 05
German DFB Pokal
26.10.21	Mainz - Arminia Bielefeld	3:2 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
22.10.21	Mainz - Augsburg	4:1 ✺
16.10.21	Borussia Dortmund - Mainz	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.21	Mainz - Kaiserslautern	1:1
German Bundesliga
03.10.21	Mainz - Union Berlin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
26.10.21	Mainz - Arminia Bielefeld	3:2 ET
German Bundesliga
03.04.21	Mainz - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
05.12.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Mainz	2:1

Upcoming Matches