Match Info

DFB Pokal - Final

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Olympiastadion (Berlin)

Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Arminia Bielefeld		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	7.5	5	1.38	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.46
	8	4.75	1.42	Watch
	8.19	5.35	1.38
	8.23	5.15	1.39	Watch
	6	4.5	1.44
	7.7	5.13	1.42	Watch
	8	4.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.52 ↑ (5.95)	4.92 ↑ (4.7)	1.41 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
12.8%

Draw
19.5%

Stuttgart
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

20.5%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

20.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	0%	92%

Arminia Bielefeld - Stuttgart Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Arminia (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Arminia (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Stuttgart (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 2. Hagmann F. 19. Grosser M. 23. Schneider L. 4. Oppie L. 21. Russo S. 6. Corboz M. (C) 8. Schreck S. 37. Sarenren Bazee N. J. 11. Grodowski J. 38. Worl M.	33. Nubel A. (G) 4. Vagnoman J. 14. Jaquez L. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 8. Millot E. 26. Undav D. 27. Fuhrich C. 11. Woltemade N.
Substitutes
17. Biankadi M. 10. Boujellab N. 3. Felix J. 7. Kania J. 13. Kunze L. 24. Lannert C. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 22. Schroers M. 30. Young I.	1. Bredlow F. (G) 25. Bruun Larsen J. 9. Demirovic E. 3. Hendriks R. 29. Jeltsch F. 5. Keitel Y. 18. Leweling J. 28. Nartey N. 15. Stenzel P.
Coaches
Kniat M.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Woltemade N. ⚽, Stiller A. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Millot E. ⚽, Undav D. (A),
25', Sarenren Bazee N. J. 🟨,
27', Vagnoman J. 🟨,
28', 0 - 3, Undav D. ⚽, Stiller A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Hagmann F. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,
46', Schreck S. ↓, Young I. ↑,
53', Schneider L. 🟨,
59', Sarenren Bazee N. J. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
66', 0 - 4, Millot E. ⚽,
67', Millot E. 🟨,
69', Fuhrich C. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
69', Millot E. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
76', Chabot J. ↓, Jeltsch F. ↑,
80', Grodowski J. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
82', 1 - 4, Kania J. ⚽, Lannert C. (A),
84', Worl M. ↓, Kunze L. ↑,
85', 2 - 4, Vagnoman J. (Own goal),
87', Stiller A. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
90', Felix J. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Olympiastadion.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 2.

Arminia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stuttgart is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Stuttgart is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Arminia: Boujellab N. (Knee Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Chase A. (Groin Injury) Raimund L. (Thigh Injury) Stergiou L. (Ankle Injury) Toure E. B. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Stiller A. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
17.05.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Unterhaching - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Ingolstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	0:3 ✺
19.04.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Hansa Rostock	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWW
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
17.05.25	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	2:3 ✺
11.05.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	4:0 ✺
03.05.25	St. Pauli - Stuttgart	0:1 ✺
25.04.25	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Union Berlin - Stuttgart	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
19.10.22	Stuttgart - Arminia Bielefeld	6:0
German Bundesliga
02.04.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Stuttgart	1:1
06.11.21	Stuttgart - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1
Club Friendly
23.07.21	Stuttgart - Arminia Bielefeld	5:2 ET
German Bundesliga
22.05.21	Stuttgart - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2
20.01.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Stuttgart	3:0
Club Friendly
29.08.20	Stuttgart - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0

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