Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stuttgart		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6.25	Watch
	1.52	4.45	5.9	Watch
	1.53	4.55	6.22
	1.50	4.74	5.72	Watch
	1.57	4.57	6.19	Watch
	1.48	4.5	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)	4.5 ↓ (4.65)	6.09 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
63%

Draw
21.3%

Augsburg
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

20.4%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

19.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.6%	4.5%	6.8%

Stuttgart - Augsburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Augsburg (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - Stuttgart (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (39 of 44 users predict this - 88.64%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 98.02%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 9 - 75%). Augsburg (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 22. Assignon L. 29. Jeltsch F. 23. Zagadou D. 7. Mittelstadt M. 16. Karazor A. 6. Stiller A. 27. Bouanani B. 11. El Khannouss B. 18. Leweling J. 26. Undav D. (C)	1. Dahmen F. (C) 40. Banks N. 5. Matsima C. 31. Schlotterbeck K. 19. Fellhauer R. 4. Massengo H. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 30. Kade A.
Substitutes
2. Al Dakhil A. 30. Andres C. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 24. Chabot J. 10. Fuhrich C. 28. Nartey N. 15. Stenzel P. 8. Tomas T. 4. Vagnoman J.	9. Essende S. 6. Gouweleeuw J. 17. Jakic K. 36. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 26. Saad E. 21. Tietz P. 27. Wolf M. 16. Zesiger C.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Wagner S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Rieder F. ⚽, Claude-Maurice A. (A),
17', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Mittelstadt M. (Pen),
26', 1 - 2, Massengo H. ⚽,
39', 2 - 2, Undav D. ⚽, El Khannouss B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Matsima C. 🟨,
62', Banks N. ↓, Gouweleeuw J. ↑,
62', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
67', Bouanani B. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
69', Assignon L. 🟨,
71', Hoeness S. 🟨,
74', Giannoulis D. 🟨,
74', Karazor A. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
74', El Khannouss B. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Undav D. ⚽, Stiller A. (A),
81', Kade A. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
81', Rieder F. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
84', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
85', Nartey N. 🟨,
90+1', Undav D. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
90+1', Assignon L. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 5.

Stuttgart has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Augsburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Augsburg has had a series of home games.

In this match, Stuttgart is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Demirovic E. (Foot Injury) Diehl J. (Ankle Injury) Jaquez L. (Muscle Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Stuttgart - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Mainz - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.25	Stuttgart - Mainz	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Stuttgart	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
31.10.25	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Augsburg - Bochum	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
18.10.25	Köln - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.10.25	Augsburg - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
11.05.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	4:0
German DFB Pokal
04.02.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	1:0
German Bundesliga
12.01.25	Augsburg - Stuttgart	0:1
10.05.24	Augsburg - Stuttgart	0:1
20.12.23	Stuttgart - Augsburg	3:0
21.04.23	Augsburg - Stuttgart	1:1
29.10.22	Stuttgart - Augsburg	2:1

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