The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Sarandí 37.5%
Draw 32.1%
Chacarita Juniors 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
29.7%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
29.1%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Sarandí's form might have worsened.
Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chacarita Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Arsenal Sarandí - Chacarita Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Chacarita will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sultani T. (G) 4. Amaya A. 2. Sosa A. 6. Bernardi B. 3. Cabrera I. 8. Krilanovich J. 5. Domingo N. (C) 11. Serrano V. 7. Pavia K. 9. Ortiz T. 10. Brestt F.
1. Losas F. (G) 4. Fernandez T. 2. Oneto T. 6. Brunet N. 3. Lazarte G. 8. Domke 5. Passaglia J. 7. Melendez M. 10. Pombo C. (C) 11. Brandan F. 9. Cocimano S.
Substitutes
18. Benitez M. 20. Cabral D. 19. Charparin I. 14. Lucero M. 12. Masuero F. (G) 13. Saiz J. 17. Sanchez V. 16. Segovia A. 15. Trombini M.
13. Alvarez S. 12. Arzamendia M. (G) 19. Belloso M. 16. Beltramone E. 14. Cardozo I. 18. Chocobar V. 20. Guerra A. 15. Laurelli F. 17. Rodriguez Matias
Coaches
Kohan T.
Biggeri A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Melendez M. ⚽,
23', Cocimano S. 🟨,
31', Cabrera I. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Lazarte G. (Own goal),
35', Domke 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cabrera I. ↓, Lucero M. ↑,
46', Brestt F. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
49', Lucero M. 🟨,
59', Segovia A. 🟨,
66', Oneto T. 🟥,
68', 2 - 1, Ortiz T. ⚽,
70', Krilanovich J. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
71', Domke ↓, Rodriguez Matias ↑,
77', Bernardi B. ↓, Saiz J. ↑,
77', Pombo C. ↓, Belloso M. ↑,
77', Melendez M. ↓, Beltramone E. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Segovia A. ⚽,
82', Pavia K. ↓, Cabral D. ↑,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).
Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chacarita is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.