Match Info

Primera B - Round 15

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Arsenal Sarandí		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
	2	2.78	3.95	Watch
	2.11	2.74	3.75
	2.11	2.64	4.16	Watch
	2.1	2.63	3.75
	2.05	2.85	3.83
	2.08	2.75	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.05)	2.73 ↓ (2.76)	3.82 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
43.4%

Draw
33%

Real Pilar
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

33.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

32.4%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Arsenal Sarandí - Real Pilar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lobelos J. (G) 5. Colletta T. 4. Del Col M. 9. Kestler I. 8. Lucero M. 2. Payes A. 6. Peralta I. 3. Perez D. 10. Sosa M. 7. Trombini M. 11. Vega A.	1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Achucarro D. 4. Basualdo N. 7. Cesar J. 11. Crocco M. 8. Escurra N. 3. Franco E. 2. Govi G. 10. Mancini V. 9. Riquelme M. D. 5. Rojas M.
Substitutes
13. Brienzo N. 15. Cabrera I. 20. Franco L. 16. Frascone N. 18. La Roza U. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 14. Schiavulli T. 19. Serrano V. 17. Vila J.	19. Aguilar R. 16. Avalos N. 15. Cardozo Lacoste F. E. 18. Martinez F. 14. Pansardi F. 12. Sanchez S. (G) 13. Vega L. 17. Vergara D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Riquelme M. D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Basualdo N. 🟨,
62', Cesar J. ↓, Avalos N. ↑,
64', Lucero M. ↓, La Roza U. ↑,
64', 🟨,
70', Vega A. ↓, Franco L. ↑,
70', Colletta T. ↓, Frascone N. ↑,
72', Govi G. 🟨,
74', 🟨,
75', Trombini M. ↓, Serrano V. ↑,
75', Perez D. ↓, Vila J. ↑,
77', Perafan P. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Franco L. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Arsenal Sarandí is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Real Pilar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arsenal Sarandí might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42:38	4	61

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
02.05.26	UAI Urquiza - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Excursionistas - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Ituzaingó - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Argentino de Merlo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWTW
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
02.05.26	Real Pilar - Argentino de Merlo	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Real Pilar - Deportivo Laferrere	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Brown de Adrogué - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Real Pilar - Deportivo Armenio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTWTL

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