Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA ARGENTINA - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 2 May 2023, Tuesday


	Arsenal Sarandí		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.3	6.5
	1.58	3.3	7
	1.53	3.61	6.73
	1.53	3.4	6.5
	1.52	3.68	6.85
	1.56	3.5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.48)	3.47 ↓ (3.49)	6.66 ↓ (8.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
59.7%

Draw
26.5%

Villa Mitre
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

26.5%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

25.2%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Arsenal Sarandí - Villa Mitre Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Villa Mitre will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Neutral location.

Arsenal Sarandí is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Villa Mitre is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Arsenal Sarandí is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.04.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
17.04.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
13.04.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Godoy Cruz	2:3 ✺
07.04.23	Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.04.23	Villa Mitre - Círculo Deportivo	3:1 ✺
23.04.23	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Villa Mitre - Cipolletti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW

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