Match Info

FNL - Round 30

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Arsenal (Tula)

Referee: Sagdiev A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier


	Arsenal Tula		Chelyabinsk

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.36	4.28
	1.95	3.38	4.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.79)	3.37 ↓ (3.51)	4.25 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
49%

Draw
28.4%

Chelyabinsk
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

27%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

26.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Arsenal Tula - Chelyabinsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Tsulaya M. (G) 4. Penchikov D. 31. Bolshakov K. (C) 5. Putsko A. 44. Isaenko O. 14. Brnovic M. 21. Razdorskikh N. 10. Gorbunov I. 22. Tsaraev A. 95. Obryvkov S. 24. Azyavin I.	93. Tuseev I. (G) 27. Kochiev K. (C) 91. Baytukov R. 5. Gatin B. 66. Gudkov Y. 14. Palkin V. 18. Kertanov K. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 70. Levin G. 19. Komissarov T. 11. Gongadze G.
Substitutes
17. Ahlinvi M. 19. Bogdanets K. 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 99. Guliev A. 45. Karmaev N. 9. Maksimov M. 42. Melikhov A. (G) 77. Plotnikov D. 8. Popov A. 1. Sangare D. (G) 50. Sokolov I.	33. Agaev A. 88. Eza W. 47. Glukhov E. 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 17. N'Diaye B. 72. Novikov O. (G) 15. Pushkarev D. 44. Rusyaev I. 75. Zhamaletdinov T. 2. Zhirov A.
Coaches
Gunko D.	Pilipchuk R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Obryvkov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gatin B. ↓, N'Diaye B. ↑,
46', Obryvkov S. ↓, Plotnikov D. ↑,
69', Gadzhimuradov R. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,
72', Isaenko O. 🟨,
73', Gongadze G. ↓, Eza W. ↑,
81', Azyavin I. ↓, Maksimov M. ↑,
81', Tsaraev A. ↓, Ahlinvi M. ↑,
81', Razdorskikh N. ↓, Guliev A. ↑,
86', Gorbunov I. ↓, Bogdanets K. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

Arsenal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chelyabinsk's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Arsenal is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arsenal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Arsenal Tula: 0.78% Chelyabinsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Arsenal Tula	12	3	4	5	12:22	-10	13
15	Chelyabinsk	12	3	3	6	13:19	-6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
18.04.26	Shinnik - Arsenal Tula	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Arsenal Tula - Fakel	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Arsenal Tula - Sokol Saratov	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Arsenal Tula	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLWW
- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL
17.04.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chelyabinsk	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chelyabinsk - SKA Khabarovsk	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Chelyabinsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Chelyabinsk	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
19.10.25	Chelyabinsk - Arsenal Tula	2:2

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