Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Lecce		Crotone

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	5	Watch
	1.55	3.9	6
	1.56	3.95	5.6	Watch
	1.56	3.8	5.4
	1.6	3.91	6.58
	1.53	3.8	6.5
	1.58	4.05	5.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)	3.89 ↓ (4.1)	5.85 ↓ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
59.9%

Draw
24.1%

Crotone
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

23.2%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lecce - Crotone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Lecce has the most likely position - 1 (26.57%), has project points - 69, has currently - 43, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (49%), has a good chance of promoted (59%), has a chance of win league (27%).

Crotone has the most likely position - 18 (24.68%), has project points - 31, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (76%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, importance 58, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Lecce is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crotone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lecce is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lecce won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie B
16.02.22	Alessandria - Lecce	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Lecce - Benevento	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Como - Lecce	1:1 ✺
26.01.22	Lecce - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Lecce - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTTWW
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie B
16.02.22	Crotone - Brescia	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Reggina - Crotone	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Crotone - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
30.01.22	Parma - Crotone	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Como - Crotone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.09.21	Crotone - Lecce	0:3
17.03.19	Crotone - Lecce	2:2
31.10.18	Lecce - Crotone	1:0

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