Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Astana		Ballkani

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.2
	1.82	3.4	3.9
	1.85	3.6	4	Watch
	1.88	3.58	4.2
	1.85	3.58	4.2
	1.85	3.58	4.15
	1.93	3.55	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.89)	3.54 ↓ (3.62)	4.09 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
50.4%

Draw
26.6%

Ballkani
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.8%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

26.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ballkani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballkani than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	0%	17.9%

Astana - Ballkani Predictions

Users Predictions: Astana will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Condric J. (G) 15. Beysebekov A. (C) 22. Marochkin A. 45. Amanovic A. 13. Hovhannisyan K. 8. Kuat I. 7. Ebong M. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 10. Tomasov M. 88. Darboe D. 23. Ourega F.	1. Kolici E. (G) 19. Trashi L. 5. Dellova L. 32. Jashanica B. 3. Potoku A. 4. Halili G. 20. Kuc E. (C) 11. Zyba Q. 7. Hamidi W. 10. Gripshi N. 98. Kryeziu A.
Substitutes
21. Astanov E. 17. Aymbetov A. 72. Basmanov S. 11. Darabayev A. 3. Haroyan V. 29. Jovancic D. 44. Loncar S. 20. Prokopenko V. 33. Tomasevic Z. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 55. Zarutskiy A. (G) 97. Zhaksylykov N.	9. Berisha A. 22. Dulaj K. 12. Hoxha A. (G) 77. Ismajlgeci M. 25. Karrica B. 8. Limaj V. 92. Ljuljanovic D. (G) 30. Manaj A. 23. Ramadani R. 18. Shala L. 2. Thaqi A. 99. Tolaj B.
Coaches
Babayan G.	Daja I.

Preview

Recent matches Astana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ballkani is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Astana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Astana will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ballkani: Emerllahu L. (Ankle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Astana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
29.10.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Ballkani - Astana	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
21.10.23	Astana - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Astana - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
30.09.23	Aktobe - Astana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWLL
- KF Ballkani
Kosovo Superliga
01.11.23	Ballkani - Drita Gjilan	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Feronikeli - Ballkani	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Ballkani - Astana	1:2 ✺
Kosovo Superliga
20.10.23	Ballkani - Liria Prizren	4:1 ✺
08.10.23	Prishtina - Ballkani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Ballkani - Astana	1:2

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