Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: New Balance Arena (Bergamo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bolivia	16:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	17:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 2
Canada	16:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	15:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	21:00	CANAL+ Sport 360, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	22:00	5 STARS Israel
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Canal+ Sport 2
Mexico	14:00	FOX One
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 3 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	17:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Singapore	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 3
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 3
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus, VTV Prime
International	20:00	VIX App


	Atalanta		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.67
	4.5	4.33	1.66
	4.55	4.35	1.7
	4.8	4.45	1.69
	4.59	4.58	1.68	Watch
	4.4	4.33	1.65
	4.92	4.32	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (4.44)	4.37 ↓ (4.67)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atalanta
20.8%

Draw
22%

Bayern Munich
57.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.6%

20.6%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

19.8%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Atalanta aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.4%	3.3%	92.2%

Atalanta - Bayern Munich Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Atalanta (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Atalanta (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Atalanta (3.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Bayern (2.10) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (83 of 90 users predict this - 92.22%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.69% – 97.75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Bayern (votes: 28 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 77. Zappacosta D. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 47. Bernasconi L. 7. Sulemana K. 15. De Roon M. (C) 8. Pasalic M. 59. Zalewski N. 90. Krstovic N. 9. Scamacca G.	40. Urbig J. (G) 44. Stanisic J. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 27. Laimer K. 6. Kimmich J. (C) 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 7. Gnabry S. 14. Diaz L. 11. Jackson N.
Substitutes
69. Ahanor H. 5. Bakker M. 16. Bellanova R. 48. Cassa F. 19. Djimsiti B. 3. Kossounou O. 6. Musah Y. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 45. Vavassori D.	20. Bischof T. 19. Davies A. 8. Goretzka L. 22. Guerreiro R. 9. Kane H. 42. Karl L. 3. Kim Min-Jae 10. Musiala J. 37. Prescott L. (G) 26. Ulreich S. (G)
Coaches
Palladino R.	Kompany V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Stanisic J. ⚽, Gnabry S. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Olise M. ⚽, Upamecano D. (A),
25', 0 - 3, Gnabry S. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
39', Laimer K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Gnabry S. ↓, Musiala J. ↑,
46', Laimer K. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
46', Scamacca G. ↓, Djimsiti B. ↑,
52', 0 - 4, Jackson N. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
55', Kolasinac S. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
55', Zalewski N. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
64', 0 - 5, Olise M. ⚽, Davies A. (A),
67', Zappacosta D. ↓, Bellanova R. ↑,
67', 0 - 6, Musiala J. ⚽, Jackson N. (A),
68', Pavlovic A. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
71', Davies A. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
73', Sulemana K. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
77', Olise M. 🟨,
83', Musah Y. 🟨,
84', Kimmich J. 🟨,
86', Stanisic J. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 6, Pasalic M. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Atalanta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayern is the team to beat.

There will not play in Atalanta: De Ketelaere C. (Knee Injury) Ederson (Muscle Injury) Raspadori G. (Thigh Injury) Scalvini G. (Red Card)

There will not play in Bayern: Ito H. (Muscle Injury) Kiala C. (Ankle Injury) Ndiaye B. (Inactive) Neuer M. (Calf Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Bayern Munich	3	1	2	0	10:5	5	5

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Bayern Munich: 11.26%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
07.03.26	Atalanta - Udinese	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.03.26	Lazio - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.03.26	Sassuolo - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.02.26	Atalanta - Napoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLWW
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
06.03.26	Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
11.02.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches