Match Info

Serie A - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce) 🌤️ ...

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	09:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV1
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	14:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+
Vietnam	20:00	TV 360, VTVcab
International	13:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Lecce		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.65	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.75
	5.4	3.7	1.68	Watch
	5.75	3.85	1.69
	5.53	3.84	1.65	Watch
	5	3.5	1.65
	5.9	3.87	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.38 ↑ (4.65)	3.74 ↓ (3.77)	1.68 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
17.7%

Draw
25.5%

Atalanta
56.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.4%

25.2%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

25.5%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	11.9%	73.8%

Lecce - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 6 - 14.3%). Atalanta will win (votes: 31 - 73.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 60.5% – 87.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lecce (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atalanta will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 1 - 20%). Atalanta (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 5. Siebert J. 44. Tiago Gabriel 3. Ndaba C. 20. Ramadani Y. 79. Ngom O. 50. Pierotti S. 8. Fofana S. 19. Banda L. 99. Cheddira W.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 19. Djimsiti B. 23. Kolasinac S. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 47. Bernasconi L. 17. De Ketelaere C. 59. Zalewski N. 90. Krstovic N.
Substitutes
29. Coulibaly L. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 16. Gandelman O. 28. Gorter O. 14. Helgason T. J. 18. Jean G. 36. Marchwinski F. 11. Ndri K. 13. Perez M. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 9. Stulic N.	69. Ahanor H. 5. Bakker M. 16. Bellanova R. 3. Kossounou O. 6. Musah Y. 49. Navarro A. 50. Pardel P. (G) 8. Pasalic M. 18. Raspadori G. 10. Samardzic L. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Scalvini G. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fofana S. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,
47', Djimsiti B. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Krstovic N. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
63', Zalewski N. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
63', De Roon M. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
67', Veiga D. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
68', Ramadani Y. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
70', Zappacosta D. 🟨,
70', Zappacosta D. ↓, Bellanova R. ↑,
70', Djimsiti B. ↓, Kossounou O. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Raspadori G. ⚽, Pasalic M. (A),
78', Cheddira W. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
80', Krstovic N. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.

Lecce is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Atalanta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Atalanta is the team to beat.

There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Thigh Injury) Camarda F. (Shoulder Injury) Gaspar K. (Knee Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Hien I. (Thigh Injury) Scamacca G. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Banda L. (Thigh Injury) Coulibaly L. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:24. (average 0.9:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 1:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Atalanta	9	3	2	4	16:17	-1	11
14	Lecce	9	3	0	6	10:19	-9	9

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Atalanta: 0.45% Lecce: 0.13%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
22.03.26	Roma - Lecce	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Napoli - Lecce	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lecce - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Como - Lecce	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lecce - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWLL
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
22.03.26	Atalanta - Verona	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.03.26	Bayern Munich - Atalanta	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.03.26	Inter Milan - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Atalanta - Bayern Munich	1:6 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.03.26	Atalanta - Udinese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
14.09.25	Atalanta - Lecce	4:1
27.04.25	Atalanta - Lecce	1:1
19.08.24	Lecce - Atalanta	0:4
18.05.24	Lecce - Atalanta	0:2
30.12.23	Atalanta - Lecce	1:0
19.02.23	Atalanta - Lecce	1:2
09.11.22	Lecce - Atalanta	2:1

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