Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, Play Sports 4
Bolivia	16:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring, Voyo
Canada	16:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	ESPN Premium
China	04:00	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	15:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, Viaplay 1 Urheilu
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Selekt, Sport 2
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport 2
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	22:00	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	21:00	Amazon Prime Video
Japan	05:00	Wowow Cinema
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Canal+ Action, Canal+
Maldives	01:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	14:00	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 4
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	17:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ 360
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 5
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 2
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+
Suriname	17:00	ATV Suriname
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	04:00	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab, VTV Prime
International	20:00	VIX App


	Bayern Munich		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	7
	1.34	6	7.25
	1.39	5.65	7.1
	1.39	5.9	7.5
	1.39	5.83	7.06	Watch
	1.36	5	6.5
	1.42	5.86	7.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.31)	5.68 ↓ (5.9)	7.08 ↓ (8.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
69.6%

Draw
16.9%

Atalanta
13.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.9%

16.2%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

15.4%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	5.1%	8.5%

Bayern Munich - Atalanta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Atalanta (3.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Atalanta (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (50 of 58 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.34% – 95.08%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Atalanta (votes: 4 - 23.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Urbig J. (G) 44. Stanisic J. 3. Kim Min-Jae 4. Tah J. 20. Bischof T. 8. Goretzka L. 45. Pavlovic A. 42. Karl L. 22. Guerreiro R. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H. (C)	57. Sportiello M. (G) 3. Kossounou O. 4. Hien I. 42. Scalvini G. 16. Bellanova R. 8. Pasalic M. (C) 13. Ederson 47. Bernasconi L. 17. De Ketelaere C. 7. Sulemana K. 9. Scamacca G.
Substitutes
35. Bartl J. (G) 7. Gnabry S. 21. Ito H. 11. Jackson N. 27. Laimer K. 41. Manuba V. 34. Ofli D. 43. Pavic F. 37. Prescott L. (G) 2. Upamecano D.	69. Ahanor H. 5. Bakker M. 29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 15. De Roon M. 19. Djimsiti B. 23. Kolasinac S. 90. Krstovic N. 18. Raspadori G. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 59. Zalewski N. 77. Zappacosta D.
Coaches
Kompany V.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Kane H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Kane H. ⚽, Stanisic J. (A),
56', Pavlovic A. ↓, Ofli D. ↑,
56', 3 - 0, Karl L. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
57', Ederson ↓, De Roon M. ↑,
57', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
70', 4 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Karl L. (A),
71', Scamacca G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
71', Sulemana K. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
72', Kane H. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
72', Stanisic J. ↓, Pavic F. ↑,
72', Bischof T. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
83', Scalvini G. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
83', Guerreiro R. ↓, Ito H. ↑,
86', 4 - 1, Samardzic L. ⚽, Pasalic M. (A),

Preview

First leg result: 6-1. Second leg.

Bayern is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atalanta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayern is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Hamstring Injury) Ito H. (Muscle Injury) Kiala C. (Ankle Injury) Kimmich J. (Yellow Cards) Mike W. (Hip Injury) Musiala J. (Ankle Injury) Ndiaye B. (Inactive) Olise M. (Yellow Cards) Ulreich S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Musah Y. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Bayern: Neuer M. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Raspadori G. (Thigh Injury)

We predict that Bayern will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bayern won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Bayern Munich	3	1	2	0	10:5	5	5

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Bayern Munich: 11.26%

Last Results with these Odds

Bayern Munich - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 72.94%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Atalanta - Bayern Munich	1:6 ✺
German Bundesliga
06.03.26	Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWWW
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
14.03.26	Inter Milan - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Atalanta - Bayern Munich	1:6 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.03.26	Atalanta - Udinese	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.03.26	Lazio - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.03.26	Sassuolo - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Atalanta - Bayern Munich	1:6

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