Match Info

Serie A - Round 29

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Angola	15:00	Z Sports 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	11:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	ESPN
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	09:00	ESPN 4
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Haiti	10:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	21:00	ANTV, Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	15:00	VG+
Paraguay	11:00	ESPN 4
Peru	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV2
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	ELTA Sports 4
Thailand	21:00	True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	17:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	21:00	ON Football, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab
International	14:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Inter Milan		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5	Watch
	1.55	4.25	5.9
	1.53	4.55	6.75
	1.52	4.69	6.23	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5
	1.59	4.66	5.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)	4.39 ↓ (4.52)	5.79 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
61.9%

Draw
21.7%

Atalanta
16.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

21%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	14.8%	3.7%

Inter Milan - Atalanta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Inter (1.82) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Atalanta (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Atalanta (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (43 of 53 users predict this - 81.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.6% – 91.66%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 17 - 81%). Atalanta (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 25. Akanji M. 30. Carlos Augusto 2. Dumfries D. 23. Barella N. (C) 7. Zielinski P. 8. Sucic P. 32. Dimarco F. 9. Thuram M. 94. Esposito F.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 19. Djimsiti B. 23. Kolasinac S. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 8. Pasalic M. 47. Bernasconi L. 10. Samardzic L. 59. Zalewski N. 9. Scamacca G.
Substitutes
15. Acerbi F. 95. Bastoni A. 14. Bonny A. 36. Darmian M. 6. de Vrij S. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 17. Diouf A. 16. Frattesi D. 57. Kaczmarski I. 53. Lavelli M. 11. Luis Henrique 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H.	69. Ahanor H. 5. Bakker M. 16. Bellanova R. 17. De Ketelaere C. 13. Ederson 4. Hien I. 3. Kossounou O. 90. Krstovic N. 6. Musah Y. 31. Rossi F. (G) 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K.
Coaches
Chivu C.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Kolasinac S. 🟨,
22', Sucic P. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Esposito F. ⚽, Barella N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sucic P. ↓, Mkhitaryan H. ↑,
52', Scamacca G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
52', Samardzic L. ↓, Ederson ↑,
59', Carlos Augusto 🟨,
65', Kolasinac S. ↓, Hien I. ↑,
65', Zalewski N. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
65', Dimarco F. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
66', Esposito F. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
76', Barella N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
76', De Roon M. ↓, De Ketelaere C. ↑,
80', Akanji M. ↓, de Vrij S. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Krstovic N. ⚽,
83', Chivu C. 🟨,
85', Chivu C. 🟨,
90+5', De Ketelaere C. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inter is the team to beat.

There will not play in Inter: Calhanoglu H. (Groin Injury) Martinez L. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: De Ketelaere C. (Knee Injury) Raspadori G. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Bastoni A. (Shin Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Ederson (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter won 13 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:14. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:6. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	9	8	1	0	25:10	15	25
12	Atalanta	9	3	2	4	16:17	-1	11

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 53.37% Atalanta: 0.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Milan - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.55%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Milan - Inter Milan	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.03.26	Como - Inter Milan	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.02.26	Inter Milan - Genoa	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.02.26	Inter Milan - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.02.26	Lecce - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWLW
- Atalanta
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Atalanta - Bayern Munich	1:6 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.03.26	Atalanta - Udinese	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.03.26	Lazio - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.03.26	Sassuolo - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.12.25	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:1
16.03.25	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:2
Italian Super Cup
02.01.25	Inter Milan - Atalanta	2:0
Italian Serie A
30.08.24	Inter Milan - Atalanta	4:0
28.02.24	Inter Milan - Atalanta	4:0
04.11.23	Atalanta - Inter Milan	1:2
27.05.23	Inter Milan - Atalanta	3:2

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