Match Info

Serie A - Round 29

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 4
Thailand	True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Inter Milan		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5	Watch
	1.55	4.25	5.9
	1.53	4.55	6.75
	1.52	4.69	6.23	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5
	1.59	4.66	5.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)	4.39 ↓ (4.52)	5.79 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
61.9%

Draw
21.7%

Atalanta
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

21%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.4%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	14.8%	3.7%

Inter Milan - Atalanta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Inter (1.82) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Atalanta (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Atalanta (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (43 of 53 users predict this - 81.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.6% – 91.66%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 17 - 81%). Atalanta (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 25. Akanji M. 30. Carlos Augusto 2. Dumfries D. 23. Barella N. (C) 7. Zielinski P. 8. Sucic P. 32. Dimarco F. 9. Thuram M. 94. Esposito F.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 19. Djimsiti B. 23. Kolasinac S. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 8. Pasalic M. 47. Bernasconi L. 10. Samardzic L. 59. Zalewski N. 9. Scamacca G.
Substitutes
15. Acerbi F. 95. Bastoni A. 14. Bonny A. 36. Darmian M. 6. de Vrij S. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 17. Diouf A. 16. Frattesi D. 57. Kaczmarski I. 53. Lavelli M. 11. Luis Henrique 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H.	69. Ahanor H. 5. Bakker M. 16. Bellanova R. 17. De Ketelaere C. 13. Ederson 4. Hien I. 3. Kossounou O. 90. Krstovic N. 6. Musah Y. 31. Rossi F. (G) 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K.
Coaches
Chivu C.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Kolasinac S. 🟨,
22', Sucic P. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Esposito F. ⚽, Barella N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sucic P. ↓, Mkhitaryan H. ↑,
52', Scamacca G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
52', Samardzic L. ↓, Ederson ↑,
59', Carlos Augusto 🟨,
65', Kolasinac S. ↓, Hien I. ↑,
65', Zalewski N. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
65', Dimarco F. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
66', Esposito F. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
76', Barella N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
76', De Roon M. ↓, De Ketelaere C. ↑,
80', Akanji M. ↓, de Vrij S. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Krstovic N. ⚽,
83', Chivu C. 🟨,
85', Chivu C. 🟨,
90+5', De Ketelaere C. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inter is the team to beat.

There will not play in Inter: Calhanoglu H. (Groin Injury) Martinez L. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: De Ketelaere C. (Knee Injury) Raspadori G. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Bastoni A. (Shin Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Ederson (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter won 13 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:14. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:6. (average 2.5:0.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 44.98% Atalanta: 0.8%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15:8	7	13
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5:7	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Milan - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.55%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Milan - Inter Milan	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.03.26	Como - Inter Milan	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.02.26	Inter Milan - Genoa	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.02.26	Inter Milan - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.02.26	Lecce - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWLW
- Atalanta
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Atalanta - Bayern Munich	1:6 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.03.26	Atalanta - Udinese	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.03.26	Lazio - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.03.26	Sassuolo - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.12.25	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:1
16.03.25	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:2
Italian Super Cup
02.01.25	Inter Milan - Atalanta	2:0
Italian Serie A
30.08.24	Inter Milan - Atalanta	4:0
28.02.24	Inter Milan - Atalanta	4:0
04.11.23	Atalanta - Inter Milan	1:2
27.05.23	Inter Milan - Atalanta	3:2

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