Match Info

Date: 29 September 2021, Wednesday


	Atalanta		Young Boys

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7
	1.44	4.75	7
	1.46	5	7
	1.46	4.9	6.2
	1.48	4.88	6.97
	1.44	4.6	7
	1.49	4.85	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.52)	4.82 ↑ (4.5)	6.85 ↑ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
66.1%

Draw
19.9%

Young Boys
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21.2%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

13.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-26.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Young Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.4%	16%	13.6%

Atalanta - Young Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 125 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 88 - 70.4%). Young Boys will win (votes: 17 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 62.4% – 78.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Atalanta has currently - 1, has a chance of 1st (27%), has a chance of 2nd (26%), has a chance of 3rd (25%), has a good chance of round of 16 (53%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Young Boys has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (18%), has a chance of 2nd (25%), has a chance of 3rd (26%), has a chance of round of 16 (43%), has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Atalanta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Young Boys is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atalanta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atalanta is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
25.09.21	Inter Milan - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
21.09.21	Atalanta - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
18.09.21	Salernitana - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.09.21	Villarreal - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.09.21	Atalanta - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWTL
- Young Boys
Swiss Super League
25.09.21	Young Boys - St. Gallen	2:1 ✺
22.09.21	Lausanne-Sport - Young Boys	1:6 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.09.21	Young Boys - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
11.09.21	Young Boys - Zürich	4:0 ✺
29.08.21	Basel - Young Boys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWWT

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