Match Info

Date: 14 September 2021, Tuesday


	Villarreal		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.7
	2.45	3.4	2.85
	2.6	3.5	2.85
	2.55	3.35	2.8
	2.6	3.46	2.87
	2.5	3.4	2.8
	2.57	3.46	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.61)	3.44 ↓ (3.67)	2.82 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
37.9%

Draw
28%

Atalanta
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

25.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

18.7%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.5%	31.9%	26.6%

Villarreal - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 94 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 39 - 41.5%). Atalanta will win (votes: 25 - 26.6%). It will Tie (votes: 30 - 31.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 31.5% – 51.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Villarreal has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (18%), has a chance of 2nd (28%), has a chance of 3rd (32%), has a chance of round of 16 (47%), has a chance of qtrs (17%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Atalanta has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (25%), has a chance of 2nd (32%), has a chance of 3rd (27%), has a good chance of round of 16 (57%), has a chance of qtrs (22%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Villarreal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Atalanta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atalanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Club Friendly
03.09.21	Villarreal - Braga	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.08.21	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
21.08.21	Espanyol - Villarreal	0:0 ✺
16.08.21	Villarreal - Granada	0:0 ✺
UEFA Super Cup
11.08.21	Chelsea - Villarreal	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTTL
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
11.09.21	Atalanta - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
28.08.21	Atalanta - Bologna	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Torino - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.21	Juventus - Atalanta	3:1 ✺
11.08.21	Atalanta - Alessandria	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWLW

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