The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atalanta U23 26.2%
Draw 28%
Catania 45.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
27.7%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
27%
39.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atalanta U23's form might have worsened.
Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Atalanta U23 - Catania Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Catania will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 58. Bonanomi A. 11. Cassa F. 24. Ghislandi D. 18. Guerini A. 47. Levak S. 7. Manzoni A. 9. Misitano G. 37. Navarro A. 2. Plaia M. 25. Steffanoni F.
57. Dini A. (G) 6. Allegretto A. 3. Celli A. 10. Cicerelli E. (C) 99. D'Ausilio M. 47. Di Noia G. 32. Forte F. 68. Ierardi M. 7. Jimenez K. 73. Pieraccini S. 19. Raimo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Plaia M. ↓, Berto G. ↑,
41', Pieraccini S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Ghislandi D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
57', Misitano G. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
67', Pieraccini S. ↓, Cargnelutti R. ↑,
67', Raimo A. ↓, Bruzzaniti G. ↑,
67', Forte F. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
78', Steffanoni F. 🟨,
81', Bonanomi A. ↓, Idele J. ↑,
81', Ghislandi D. ↓, Mencaraglia F. ↑,
81', Guerini A. ↓, Bergonzi F. ↑,
85', Lunetta G. ↓, Di Tacchio F. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atalanta U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Catania
8
4
1
3
14:10
4
13
Last Results with these Odds
Catania - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.85%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.