Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 33

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	Onefootball


	Catania		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.5	7.75
	1.46	4.15	6.1	Watch
	1.49	4.23	5.8
	1.47	4.29	5.77	Watch
	1.44	3.8	5.5
	1.45	4.1	5.87	Watch
	1.4	3.91	7.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)	4.14 ↑ (4.08)	6.33 ↓ (7.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
63.6%

Draw
22%

Casarano
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

22.7%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

22.3%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Catania - Casarano Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Catania will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Casarano will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catania: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Catania (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 24. Casasola T. 5. Miceli M. 68. Ierardi M. 20. Donnarumma D. 16. Quaini A. 14. Di Tacchio F. (C) 17. Bruzzaniti G. 7. Jimenez K. 23. Lunetta G. 18. Caturano S.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 3. Giraudo F. 25. Bachini M. 33. Mercadante M. 5. Celiento D. 23. Logoluso G. 17. Maiello R. 27. Versienti L. 10. Chirico C. 9. Grandolfo F. 11. Ferrara V.
Substitutes
6. Allegretto A. 1. Bethers K. (G) 29. Cargnelutti R. 3. Celli A. 10. Cicerelli E. 12. Coco L. (G) 30. Corbari A. 99. D'Ausilio M. 47. Di Noia G. 28. Doni S. 73. Pieraccini S. 19. Raimo A.	26. Barone A. 77. Cajazzo I. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 98. Ferilli M. (G) 24. Gega E. 46. Leonetti V. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G. 18. Perez L. 16. Santarcangelo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Donnarumma D. 🟨,
24', Quaini A. 🟨,
30', Maiello R. 🟨,
31', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Bacchin F. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Bruzzaniti G. ⚽,
62', Quaini A. ↓, Di Noia G. ↑,
63', Donnarumma D. ↓, Celli A. ↑,
63', Bruzzaniti G. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
63', Grandolfo F. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
67', Jimenez K. 🟨,
69', Versienti L. 🟨,
71', Versienti L. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
74', Caturano S. ↓, Pieraccini S. ↑,
78', Maiello R. ↓, Leonetti V. ↑,
78', Giraudo F. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Ferrara V. ⚽,
85', Jimenez K. ↓, Cicerelli E. ↑,
88', Celiento D. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Catania is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Catania won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
15.03.26	Altamura - Catania	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Catania - Casertana	0:0 ✺
05.03.26	Benevento - Catania	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Salernitana - Catania	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Catania - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLTW
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
14.03.26	Casarano - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Monopoli - Casarano	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Casarano - Siracusa	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Foggia - Casarano	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
15.11.25	Casarano - Catania	1:0

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