Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Tullio Saleri (Lumezzane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Lumezzane		Lecco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.05	2.72
	2.7	2.98	2.78
	2.59	2.98	2.74	Watch
	2.5	2.7	2.75
	2.51	2.88	2.73	Watch
	2.6	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.54)	2.93 ↓ (3.42)	2.75 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
35.6%

Draw
31.2%

Lecco
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.9%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

26%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Lumezzane - Lecco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecco (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Drago G. (G) 2. Deratti J. 29. Gallea F. 3. Pagliari M. 23. Moscati M. 8. Rocca M. 4. Paghera F. 11. Ghillani A. 19. Rolando M. 21. Iori M. 20. Caccavo L.	1. Furlan J. (G) 13. Battistini M. 18. Tanco G. J. 41. Romani L. 45. Rizzo M. 6. Mallamo A. 21. Metlika A. 14. Bonaiti S. 80. Kritta M. 10. Furrer G. 25. Sipos L.
Substitutes
22. Bonardi F. (G) 30. Cantamessa S. 5. D'Agostino S. 9. Donnarumma A. 37. Ferretti E. 7. Ferro M. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 27. Napolitano G. 15. Ndiaye M. 41. Scanzi M. 39. Serpa A.	9. Alaoui A. 78. Anastasini J. 90. Constant G. (G) 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 26. Frigerio M. R. 11. Galeandro A. 7. Grassini D. 33. Lovisa N. 4. Marrone L. 20. Mihali L. 73. Nova E. 17. Pellegrino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Caccavo L. ⚽,
21', Tanco G. J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Furrer G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Tanco G. J. ↓, Marrone L. ↑,
66', Rizzo M. ↓, Pellegrino G. ↑,
66', Mallamo A. ↓, Mihali L. ↑,
66', Iori M. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
83', Furrer G. ↓, Alaoui A. ↑,
84', Ghillani A. ↓, Napolitano G. ↑,
90', Caccavo L. ↓, D'Agostino S. ↑,
90', Sipos L. ↓, Galeandro A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Lumezzane is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lecco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Lumezzane won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
07.12.25	Brescia - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Lumezzane - Novara	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Lumezzane - Pro Vercelli	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Pro Patria - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WTWWT
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.25	Lecco - Alcione	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vicenza Virtus - Lecco	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lecco - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Lecco - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Novara - Lecco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.01.25	Lumezzane - Lecco	4:0
07.09.24	Lecco - Lumezzane	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.02.18	Lecco - Lumezzane	0:1

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