Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 33

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Vercelli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Pro Vercelli		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	1.98	3.2	3.65	Watch
	1.88	3.44	4.12
	2.02	3.22	3.56	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.9	3.23	4.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.16)	3.22 ↓ (3.26)	3.8 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Vercelli
47.3%

Draw
28.5%

Lumezzane
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

28.2%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.5%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Vercelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lumezzane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Pro Vercelli - Lumezzane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Del Favero M. (G) 18. Piran L. 5. Marchetti S. 3. Coccolo L. 28. Carosso A. 14. Iotti I. 4. El Bouchataoui A. 30. Huiberts D. 92. Akpa Akpro J. 26. Comi G. 11. Sow A.	50. Drago G. (G) 70. Mancini S. 2. Deratti J. 31. Stivanello R. 98. Motta M. 4. Paghera F. 6. Colangiuli V. 23. Moscati M. 19. Rolando M. 11. Ghillani A. 32. Anatriello G.
Substitutes
41. Boufandar A. 8. Burruano A. 44. Clemente G. 97. Livieri A. (G) 7. Mallahi M. 23. Perotti C. 29. Pino E. 91. Regonesi I. 16. Ronchi N. 33. Rosin D. 10. Rutigliano M. 45. Satriano A. 21. Sow O. 32. Zacchera G.	12. Battagliola L. (G) 99. Belvedere F. 7. Ferro M. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 29. Gallea F. 21. Iori M. 10. Malotti M. 45. Monachello G. 15. Ndiaye M. 14. Rihai A. 41. Scanzi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Paghera F. 🟨,
31', Rolando M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mancini S. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
56', Anatriello G. ↓, Gallea F. ↑,
56', Ghillani A. ↓, Iori M. ↑,
57', Colangiuli V. ↓, Malotti M. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Carosso A. ⚽,
80', Motta M. ↓, Monachello G. ↑,
82', Huiberts D. ↓, Burruano A. ↑,
82', Sow A. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
84', Stivanello R. 🟨,
87', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Rutigliano M. ↑,
90+1', El Bouchataoui A. ↓, Ronchi N. ↑,
90+2', Carosso A. ↓, Regonesi I. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Deratti J. ⚽,
90+6', Deratti J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Vercelli won 3.

Pro Vercelli is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lumezzane has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pro Vercelli might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pro Vercelli won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pro Vercelli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lumezzane	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11
14	Pro Vercelli	9	2	3	4	8:13	-5	9

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Vercelli - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.62%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Vercelli
Italian Serie C Group A
15.03.26	Triestina - Pro Vercelli	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Pro Vercelli - Cittadella	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Pergolettese - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Pro Vercelli - Trento	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
15.03.26	Lumezzane - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Renate - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Lumezzane - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Trento - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lumezzane - Dolomiti Bellunesi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
15.11.25	Lumezzane - Pro Vercelli	3:1
06.01.25	Pro Vercelli - Lumezzane	3:3
01.09.24	Lumezzane - Pro Vercelli	0:2
08.01.24	Lumezzane - Pro Vercelli	0:3
04.09.23	Pro Vercelli - Lumezzane	4:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
05.01.14	Pro Vercelli - Lumezzane	1:0
01.09.13	Lumezzane - Pro Vercelli	1:2

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