Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 21Date: 4 October 2026, SundayLocation: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Atletico Fenix Montevideo |
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Uruguay Montevideo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.62 |
3.30 |
5.00 |
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 |
1.67 |
3.30 |
4.60 |
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 |
1.64 |
3.58 |
5.78 |
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1.63 |
3.64 |
5.4 |
 Watch |
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1.61 |
3.50 |
5.30 |
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1.68 |
3.54 |
5.20 |
Watch |
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1.59 |
3.45 |
5.00 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.71) |
3.47 ↑
(3.35) |
5.18 ↑
(4.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
56% | Draw
26.4% | Uruguay Montevideo
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Ribas S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+11', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 7th and 14th).Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.Fenix may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.Recently, Fenix has faced a series of away games on the road. Bookmakers give the edge to Fenix for this game.In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Fenix has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).Specifically in home fixtures for Fenix against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Fenix | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 29 |
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| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 19:31 | -12 | 17 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 27.06.26 | Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 3:2 | | 15.03.26 | Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1:1 | | 24.08.25 | Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0:1 | | 04.06.25 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo | 2:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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