Match Info

Date: 18 December 2020, Friday


	Athletic Bilbao		Huesca

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.95	3.25	4.33
	1.94	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.87	3.3	4.5
	1.9	3.39	4.91
	1.91	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.93	3.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.09)	3.31 ↑ (3.1)	4.58 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
50.2%

Draw
28.9%

Huesca
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

30.7%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

20.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huesca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78%	12.4%	9.6%

Athletic Bilbao - Huesca Predictions

Users Predictions: 209 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 163 - 78%). Huesca will win (votes: 20 - 9.6%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 12.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 72.4% – 83.6%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

No spectators.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation to LaLiga2).

Athletic has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Huesca has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Athletic is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
15.12.20	Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	3:1 ✺
12.12.20	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	2:2 ✺
04.12.20	Athletic Bilbao - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
29.11.20	Getafe - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
23.11.20	Athletic Bilbao - Betis	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLTW
- SD Huesca
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.20	Marchamalo - Huesca	2:3 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.12.20	Huesca - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Granada - Huesca	3:3 ✺
28.11.20	Huesca - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
20.11.20	Osasuna - Huesca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
18.02.19	Huesca - Athletic Bilbao	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.18	Huesca - Athletic Bilbao	0:4
28.11.18	Athletic Bilbao - Huesca	4:0
Spanish LaLiga
27.08.18	Athletic Bilbao - Huesca	2:2
Club Friendly
20.07.16	Huesca - Athletic Bilbao	1:1

Upcoming Matches